Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

NasdaqGS:BLMN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Bloomin' Brands Valuation

Is BLMN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BLMN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BLMN ($11.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BLMN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BLMN?

Key metric: As BLMN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BLMN. This is calculated by dividing BLMN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BLMN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$4.55b
Market CapUS$1.01b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BLMN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BLMN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
0.3x0.7%US$1.2b
BJRI BJ's Restaurants
0.6x3.2%US$792.9m
PZZA Papa John's International
0.6x3.2%US$1.3b
BH.A Biglari Holdings
2.2xn/aUS$787.2m
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.2x-2.3%US$1.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BLMN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BLMN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

31 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.6x9.9%
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
 0.2x-2.3%US$1.01b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.2%US$723.06m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
BLMN 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies31PS01.22.43.64.86+
31 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.6x25.3%
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
 0.2x77.3%US$1.01b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BLMN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BLMN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BLMN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BLMN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BLMN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.95
US$16.58
+38.8%
14.5%US$22.00US$13.00n/a12
Dec ’25US$13.94
US$16.91
+21.3%
13.2%US$22.00US$14.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$16.25
US$19.92
+22.6%
10.1%US$25.00US$18.00n/a12
Oct ’25US$16.50
US$20.75
+25.8%
12.8%US$28.00US$18.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$17.50
US$20.75
+18.6%
12.8%US$28.00US$18.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$20.05
US$25.50
+27.2%
11.7%US$32.00US$22.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$19.31
US$27.64
+43.1%
8.8%US$33.00US$24.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$21.80
US$27.64
+26.8%
8.8%US$33.00US$24.00n/a11
May ’25US$25.04
US$29.50
+17.8%
6.8%US$34.00US$26.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$28.89
US$29.67
+2.7%
6.9%US$34.00US$26.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$27.99
US$29.67
+6.0%
6.9%US$34.00US$26.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$27.41
US$28.25
+3.1%
9.4%US$34.00US$25.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$28.15
US$26.83
-4.7%
9.0%US$34.00US$25.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$24.06
US$26.42
+9.8%
10.5%US$35.00US$24.00US$13.9412
Nov ’24US$23.44
US$27.33
+16.6%
10.4%US$35.00US$24.00US$16.2512
Oct ’24US$24.59
US$29.82
+21.3%
7.9%US$35.00US$27.00US$16.5011
Sep ’24US$28.22
US$29.82
+5.7%
7.9%US$35.00US$27.00US$17.5011
Aug ’24US$26.01
US$30.09
+15.7%
7.3%US$35.00US$27.00US$20.0511
Jul ’24US$26.89
US$29.30
+9.0%
9.4%US$35.00US$26.00US$19.3110
Jun ’24US$24.21
US$29.30
+21.0%
9.4%US$35.00US$26.00US$21.8010
May ’24US$24.67
US$29.36
+19.0%
9.4%US$35.00US$26.00US$25.0411
Apr ’24US$25.65
US$30.00
+17.0%
8.0%US$35.00US$27.00US$28.8911
Mar ’24US$26.59
US$30.00
+12.8%
7.7%US$35.00US$27.00US$27.9912
Feb ’24US$24.26
US$26.83
+10.6%
11.0%US$35.00US$23.00US$27.4112
Jan ’24US$20.12
US$27.46
+36.5%
11.3%US$35.00US$23.00US$28.1512
Dec ’23US$22.01
US$27.46
+24.8%
11.3%US$35.00US$23.00US$24.0612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 03:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital Markets Equity Research