Bloomin' Brands Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Bloomin' Brands is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 45.6% and 1.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 44.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 20.4% in 3 years.
Key information
45.6%
Earnings growth rate
44.28%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 18.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.6% |
| Future return on equity | 20.41% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • May 08
Results: Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
The investors in Bloomin' Brands, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:BLMN ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today, after...Seeking Alpha • May 07
Bloomin' Brands: Stock Explodes Higher, But Performance Still Lags
Summary Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) delivered a better-than-expected Q1, with a 40% stock rally driven by positive comps and EPS growth. Q1 revenues rose 1.0% to $1.06B, with positive comps in all brands except Outback; Bonefish Grill led at 6.1%. Margins remained largely stable year-over-year, with adjusted EPS at $0.67, a $0.10 beat, aided by restructuring adjustments. We remain neutral, as a single strong quarter is insufficient; Q2 guidance implies continued EPS decline versus last year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 22
BLMN: Prolonged Turnaround And Inflation Pressures Will Restrain Future Share Performance
Narrative Update Bloomin' Brands has seen mixed price target revisions, with some analysts trimming estimates, such as a move from $7 to $6, and others nudging targets slightly higher. They have cited early progress in the Outback turnaround, alongside concerns about inflation, higher investment, and the long execution timeline.Narrative Update • Apr 08
BLMN: Turnaround Execution And Cost Pressures Will Drive Future Share Performance
Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to Bloomin' Brands price targets, generally clustering around the $6 to $7 range. They are weighing early progress on the Outback turnaround against ongoing cost pressures and the long execution timeline.Narrative Update • Mar 25
BLMN: Turnaround Efforts And Cost Pressures Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Bloomin' Brands within a tight range, with moves such as Goldman Sachs shifting from $7 to $6 and Citi moving from $6.75 to $7. These changes reflect mixed views on the early progress of the Outback turnaround plan in the face of ongoing cost pressures and a long execution timeline.Narrative Update • Mar 11
BLMN: Turnaround Investments And Margin Pressure Will Shape Share Performance
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Bloomin' Brands slightly lower to around $6, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and margins, even as early signs from the Outback turnaround and planned restaurant refresh keep long term execution in focus. Analyst Commentary Street research on Bloomin' Brands has been mixed, with cautious voices tempering enthusiasm around the Outback turnaround plan.
Narrative Update • Feb 25
BLMN: Cost Discipline And Margin Resilience Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Bloomin' Brands by $1, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations as the key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Even with the modest price target trim, bullish analysts still see room for upside in Bloomin' Brands based on their latest work around revenue, margins, and P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 10
BLMN: Cost Execution And Margin Focus Will Drive Stronger Future Share Performance
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Bloomin' Brands by about US$1, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. These revisions now point to a slightly more conservative outlook for the shares.Analysis Article • Jan 31
Returns At Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) Are On The Way Up
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...Narrative Update • Jan 27
BLMN: Margin Improvements And Capital Returns Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Bloomin' Brands by about US$1. This reflects updated expectations for softer revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jan 11
BLMN: Dividend Suspension And Weak EPS Outlook Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have revised their price target on Bloomin' Brands to reflect updated assumptions for revenue growth of 124.31%, a profit margin of 3.56%, and a future P/E of 5.02x. This indicates a meaningfully different view of the company’s earnings power and valuation profile in their models.Narrative Update • Dec 26
BLMN: Dividend Suspension And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Share Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Bloomin' Brands, lifting estimated fair value by about $0.42 per share, as they expect slightly stronger long term revenue growth and valuation multiples to more than offset a marginally lower profit margin outlook. What's in the News The Board of Directors suspended the regular dividend in October 2025 as part of a broader turnaround strategy, signaling a shift toward reinvestment and balance sheet flexibility (company announcement).Narrative Update • Dec 12
BLMN: Higher Margins And Dividend Suspension Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Bloomin' Brands by about 8 percent to reflect a slightly higher discount rate and modestly softer revenue growth expectations, even as they acknowledge improved profit margin assumptions and a lower projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Directors suspended the regular dividend in October 2025 as part of a broader turnaround strategy, signaling a shift in capital allocation priorities (company announcement).Analysis Article • Nov 21
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Bloomin' Brands fair value estimate is US$6.12 Bloomin...Analysis Article • Oct 31
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN)?
While Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BLMN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share price...Analysis Article • Sep 25
Bloomin' Brands' (NASDAQ:BLMN) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...Analysis Article • Aug 15
Solid Earnings Reflect Bloomin' Brands' (NASDAQ:BLMN) Strength As A Business
NasdaqGS:BLMN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Bloomin' Brands's Fair Values from the Community and select...
Narrative Update • Aug 08
Technology Integration And Remodeling Will Transform Guest Experiences
Due to a notable decline in net profit margin and a rising future P/E, analysts have revised down Bloomin' Brands' fair value estimate, lowering the price target from $8.77 to $7.75. What's in the News Provided Q3 guidance: U.S. comparable restaurant sales expected (1%) to flat; diluted loss per share projected at $0.22 to $0.17.Analysis Article • Aug 07
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLMN) 35% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
NasdaqGS:BLMN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Bloomin' Brands's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysis Article • Aug 02
Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Should You Think About Buying Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN) Now?
While Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BLMN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...Analysis Article • May 22
Bloomin' Brands' (NASDAQ:BLMN) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Analysis Article • Apr 09
An Intrinsic Calculation For Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN) Suggests It's 22% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Bloomin' Brands is US$7.98 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Bloomin...Analysis Article • Mar 05
Revenues Working Against Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLMN) Share Price Following 34% Dive
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BLMN ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...Seeking Alpha • Mar 04
Bloomin' Brands: Now Is Still Not The Right Time To Invest
Summary My hold rating on Bloomin’ Brands stock remains as 4Q24 results showed no meaningful progress, with revenue and traffic declining, and margins contracting. New management is implementing positive changes like menu optimization and consistent value-driven promotions, but more evidence of traffic recovery and margin stabilization is needed. Rising labor and input costs add uncertainty, and competitor TXRH is growing traffic, indicating BLMN is losing relative market share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 11
What Is Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLMN) Share Price Doing?
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BLMN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Analysis Article • Jan 22
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN)
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Seeking Alpha • Dec 03
Despite 7% Dividend Yield, Outback Steakhouse Parent Bloomin' Brands Not On The Menu
Summary I'm initiating coverage of Outback Steakhouse parent company, Bloomin' Brands, with a hold rating, having a neutral sentiment on its stock. Despite a 7% dividend yield grabbing attention, and undervaluation, BLMN stock is not on my menu of stocks to buy today. The stock has a much worse profit margin and debt/equity vs peers, and its own FY earnings outlook was lowered in Q3, while the analyst consensus outlook is negative. Some upside potential can come from strength in consumer discretionary spending, lower recession risk, and growth of new restaurants in better performing locations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 19
Little Excitement Around Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLMN) Revenues As Shares Take 26% Pounding
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BLMN ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...Analysis Article • Nov 15
Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BLMN ) will pay a dividend of $0.24 on the 11th of December. Based on this payment, the...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,148 | 93 | N/A | 283 | 8 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,034 | 89 | 125 | 294 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,971 | 74 | 112 | 302 | 13 |
| 3/29/2026 | 3,966 | 22 | 119 | 279 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 3,956 | 9 | 97 | 277 | N/A |
| 9/28/2025 | 3,953 | 32 | 100 | 277 | N/A |
| 6/29/2025 | 3,934 | 77 | 38 | 235 | N/A |
| 3/30/2025 | 3,931 | 77 | 15 | 228 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 3,950 | -52 | 7 | 228 | N/A |
| 9/29/2024 | 3,669 | -61 | 44 | 267 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,839 | -16 | 113 | 361 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,992 | 28 | 145 | 417 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,168 | 206 | 250 | 532 | N/A |
| 9/24/2023 | 4,572 | 262 | 162 | 472 | N/A |
| 6/25/2023 | 4,548 | 250 | 174 | 459 | N/A |
| 3/26/2023 | 4,521 | 118 | 190 | 433 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 4,009 | 86 | 198 | 391 | N/A |
| 9/25/2022 | 4,369 | 105 | 216 | 391 | N/A |
| 6/26/2022 | 4,323 | 76 | 190 | 338 | N/A |
| 3/27/2022 | 4,275 | 222 | 263 | 409 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 4,122 | 216 | 280 | 402 | N/A |
| 9/26/2021 | 3,888 | 141 | 282 | 388 | N/A |
| 6/27/2021 | 3,649 | 120 | 339 | 425 | N/A |
| 3/28/2021 | 3,150 | -55 | 181 | 252 | N/A |
| 12/27/2020 | 3,171 | -162 | 51 | 139 | N/A |
| 9/27/2020 | 3,380 | -120 | 80 | 192 | N/A |
| 6/28/2020 | 3,576 | -93 | 47 | 182 | N/A |
| 3/29/2020 | 4,020 | 28 | 111 | 262 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 4,139 | 131 | N/A | 318 | N/A |
| 9/29/2019 | 4,130 | 113 | N/A | 314 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,128 | 108 | N/A | 320 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,138 | 106 | N/A | 320 | N/A |
| 12/30/2018 | 4,126 | 107 | N/A | 288 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,190 | 108 | N/A | 341 | N/A |
| 7/1/2018 | 4,180 | 110 | N/A | 326 | N/A |
| 4/1/2018 | 4,185 | 118 | N/A | 324 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,223 | 101 | N/A | 409 | N/A |
| 9/24/2017 | 4,151 | 85 | N/A | 340 | N/A |
| 6/25/2017 | 4,201 | 100 | N/A | 318 | N/A |
| 3/26/2017 | 4,243 | 56 | N/A | 346 | N/A |
| 12/25/2016 | 4,261 | 39 | N/A | 341 | N/A |
| 9/25/2016 | 4,297 | 64 | N/A | 374 | N/A |
| 6/26/2016 | 4,319 | 60 | N/A | 405 | N/A |
| 3/27/2016 | 4,340 | 101 | N/A | 432 | N/A |
| 12/27/2015 | 4,378 | 127 | N/A | 395 | N/A |
| 9/27/2015 | 4,437 | 132 | N/A | 440 | N/A |
| 6/28/2015 | 4,476 | 104 | N/A | 452 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BLMN's forecast earnings growth (45.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: BLMN's earnings (45.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: BLMN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: BLMN's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BLMN's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: BLMN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (20.4%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 08:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/29 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Andrew Strelzik | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |