Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, OPENLANE, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for OPENLANE

How Much Debt Does OPENLANE Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that OPENLANE had debt of US$2.11b at the end of June 2023, a reduction from US$2.73b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$242.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.86b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:KAR Debt to Equity History August 12th 2023

How Healthy Is OPENLANE's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that OPENLANE had liabilities of US$2.65b due within a year, and liabilities of US$304.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$242.4m and US$2.71b worth of receivables due within a year. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

Having regard to OPENLANE's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$1.64b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.6 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 hit our confidence in OPENLANE like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The silver lining is that OPENLANE grew its EBIT by 132% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if OPENLANE can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, OPENLANE reported free cash flow worth 11% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On our analysis OPENLANE's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, net debt to EBITDA gives us cold feet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about OPENLANE's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for OPENLANE you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:KAR

OPENLANE

Operates as a digital marketplace for used vehicles, which connects sellers and buyers in the United States, Canada, Continental Europe and the United Kingdom.

Solid track record with moderate growth potential.

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