OPENLANE Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

OPENLANE is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 27.7% and 6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.3% in 3 years.

Key information

27.7%

Earnings growth rate

22.08%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth	14.7%
Revenue growth rate	6.0%
Future return on equity	14.30%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	16 Nov 2025

Recent future growth updates

Results: OPENLANE, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Aug 09

Recent updates

Subdued Growth No Barrier To OPENLANE, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) With Shares Advancing 25%

Dec 25

Openlane: Buy On Improving Industry Fundamentals And Debt Payoff (Upgrade)

Aug 14

Results: OPENLANE, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Aug 09

At US$24.78, Is It Time To Put OPENLANE, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) On Your Watch List?

Jul 25

These 4 Measures Indicate That OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Jul 04

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For OPENLANE's (NYSE:KAR) Returns On Capital

Jan 01

OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Nov 04

AI-Driven Innovations And Strategic Growth Set To Propel Market Leadership

Sep 12 OPENLANE's innovation and asset-light digital model aim for profitable growth by increasing market share and improving operational efficiency.

OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Aug 11

Openlane: Buy On Earnings Turnaround And Market Share Gains

Jul 24

There's Reason For Concern Over OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Price

Jul 15

Is OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) A Risky Investment?

Jun 06

Some Confidence Is Lacking In OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) P/S

Apr 12

Subdued Growth No Barrier To OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Price

Dec 23

Openlane: Attractive Valuation Warrants A Buy

Nov 15

Does OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Nov 15

Openlane: Looking Good Under The Hood

Aug 24

These 4 Measures Indicate That OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Aug 12

KAR Auction Services (NYSE:KAR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

May 04

KAR Auction Non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.16, revenue of $372.8M misses by $6.66M

Feb 21

KAR Auction Services: Cheap Enough To Be Worth The Risk

Jan 18

Are Investors Undervaluing KAR Auction Services, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) By 42%?

Jan 10

What Does KAR Auction Services, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Share Price Indicate?

Dec 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:KAR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	2,208	209	241	302	2
12/31/2026	2,009	162	360	320	8
12/31/2025	1,907	148	346	307	8
9/30/2025	1,895	95	244	299	N/A
6/30/2025	1,857	80	295	348	N/A
3/31/2025	1,819	63	262	314	N/A
12/31/2024	1,789	49	238	291	N/A
9/30/2024	1,775	21	227	278	N/A
6/30/2024	1,732	9	180	231	N/A
3/31/2024	1,705	-195	187	240	N/A
12/31/2023	1,696	-199	183	235	N/A
9/30/2023	1,627	-178	171	226	N/A
6/30/2023	1,603	-190	-29	27	N/A
3/31/2023	1,571	5	-320	-260	N/A
12/31/2022	1,529	-12	-503	-443	N/A
9/30/2022	1,504	-32	-457	-394	N/A
6/30/2022	1,458	-58	-262	-199	N/A
3/31/2022	1,450	-61	113	179	N/A
12/31/2021	1,451	-33	365	429	N/A
9/30/2021	762	-142	272	308	N/A
6/30/2021	1,008	-75	352	401	N/A
3/31/2021	1,051	-90	537	582	N/A
12/31/2020	1,327	-100	322	384	N/A
9/30/2020	2,329	21	418	526	N/A
6/30/2020	2,438	26	364	493	N/A
3/31/2020	2,738	80	246	405	N/A
12/31/2019	2,782	92	380	542	N/A
9/30/2019	2,704	92	429	606	N/A
6/30/2019	2,615	89	N/A	668	N/A
3/31/2019	2,519	99	N/A	658	N/A
12/31/2018	2,443	118	N/A	723	N/A
9/30/2018	2,739	275	N/A	666	N/A
6/30/2018	2,970	307	N/A	587	N/A
3/31/2018	3,205	327	N/A	599	N/A
12/31/2017	2,239	174	N/A	598	N/A
9/30/2017	3,381	235	N/A	575	N/A
6/30/2017	3,328	226	N/A	587	N/A
3/31/2017	3,258	231	N/A	450	N/A
12/31/2016	3,150	222	N/A	378	N/A
9/30/2016	3,070	225	N/A	451	N/A
6/30/2016	2,947	223	N/A	439	N/A
3/31/2016	2,817	221	N/A	459	N/A
12/31/2015	2,691	215	N/A	482	N/A
9/30/2015	2,563	217	N/A	419	N/A
6/30/2015	2,486	212	N/A	400	N/A
3/31/2015	2,413	203	N/A	425	N/A
12/31/2014	2,417	169	N/A	431	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: KAR's forecast earnings growth (27.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: KAR's earnings (27.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: KAR's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: KAR's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KAR's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KAR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.3%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/12/24 19:55
End of Day Share Price	2025/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2025/09/30
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

OPENLANE, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Craig Kennison	Baird
John Babcock	Barclays
Manav Patnaik	Barclays

OPENLANE Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

OPENLANE, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

Results: OPENLANE, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

OPENLANE, Inc. Raises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgraded

Price target increased by 9.2% to US$23.86

Recent updates

Subdued Growth No Barrier To OPENLANE, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) With Shares Advancing 25%

Now 23% overvalued

Executive VP notifies of intention to sell stock

Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

OPENLANE, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 05, 2025

OPENLANE, Inc. Launches Audio Boost AI for Faster, Easier Vehicle Evaluations

Openlane: Buy On Improving Industry Fundamentals And Debt Payoff (Upgrade)

Results: OPENLANE, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

New major risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

OPENLANE, Inc. Raises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

At US$24.78, Is It Time To Put OPENLANE, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) On Your Watch List?

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025

These 4 Measures Indicate That OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$463k worth of stock

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

OPENLANE, Inc. (NYSE:KAR) announces an Equity Buyback for $250 million worth of its shares.

OPENLANE, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2025

OPENLANE, Inc. Appoints Brad Herring as EVP, Effective May 27, 2025

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Shares

What Is OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Share Price Doing?

Will Openlane Appoint A CFO Or Sell Itself, That Is The Question

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgraded

OPENLANE's (NYSE:KAR) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

Price target increased by 9.2% to US$23.86

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

OPENLANE, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year of 2025

Is OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) A Risky Investment?

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 19, 2025

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For OPENLANE's (NYSE:KAR) Returns On Capital

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Openlane, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Insufficient new directors

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024

AI-Driven Innovations And Strategic Growth Set To Propel Market Leadership

Openlane, Inc. Announces the Launch of Code Boost IQ, Vehicle Inspection Enhancement That Enables Faster, Better Informed Decision-Making for Dealers

OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.01 (vs US$1.87 loss in 2Q 2023)

Openlane: Buy On Earnings Turnaround And Market Share Gains

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024

There's Reason For Concern Over OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Price

OPENLANE, Inc Appoints Randy Altschuler to its Board of Directors

Is OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) A Risky Investment?

OPENLANE, Inc. Empowers US Dealers with Faster Vehicle Wholesaling

CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$374k worth of stock

Openlane, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors

OPENLANE, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 07, 2024

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

Some Confidence Is Lacking In OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) P/S

CEO & Director recently bought US$508k worth of stock

Director exercised options and sold US$545k worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Openlane, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

OPENLANE, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 20, 2024

Subdued Growth No Barrier To OPENLANE, Inc.'s (NYSE:KAR) Price

OPENLANE, Inc. Announces Retirement of Jim Money, AFC President, Effective April 1, 2024

OPENLANE, Inc. Launches US Marketplace Combining BacklotCars and Exclusive Off-Lease Inventory

Openlane: Attractive Valuation Warrants A Buy

Does OPENLANE (NYSE:KAR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind