Assessing 1st Source (SRCE) Valuation Following Zacks Analyst Upgrade and Renewed Earnings Momentum

1st Source (SRCE) just received a Zacks Rank #1 upgrade, which indicates that the firm’s improved earnings outlook has attracted attention from analysts. While analyst upgrades occur regularly, a move to “Strong Buy” from a widely followed system like Zacks is often taken seriously by investors. If you own SRCE or are monitoring it, it is worth considering whether this underlying earnings momentum significantly changes the outlook for the bank. This upgrade follows a 13% increase in 1st Source shares over the past year, with a particularly strong 8% gain in the past month. Prior to this nod from Zacks, SRCE had already posted annual revenue and net income growth, suggesting its fundamental performance has been positive. After a period of lagging, there appears to be renewed momentum building for the stock. With shares up double digits this year and a notable analyst upgrade in place, investors may be assessing whether SRCE presents an attractive entry point or if recent growth has already been reflected in the price.
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Price-to-Earnings of 11.2x: Is it justified?

Based on the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, 1st Source is trading at 11.2 times its earnings. This suggests the stock is undervalued compared to both its peer group average of 13.6x and the industry average of 11.9x.

The P/E ratio reflects how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of a company’s earnings. In the banking sector, this multiple is a core measure used to compare relative valuation. A lower-than-average ratio can sometimes indicate either overlooked value or skepticism regarding future growth prospects.

Given 1st Source’s consistent earnings growth, high quality earnings, and net profit margin improvements, the lower P/E ratio may imply the market is underestimating its future profitability. However, continued sector competition and market expectations may also play a role in holding valuations in check.

Result: Fair Value of $130.17 (UNDERVALUED)

See our latest analysis for 1st Source.

However, slower revenue growth or a broader pullback in bank stocks could limit 1st Source’s momentum going forward.

Find out about the key risks to this 1st Source narrative.

Another View: Discounted Cash Flow Model Assessment

Looking at the SWS DCF model gives us another angle, using future cash flow projections rather than earnings multiples. This method also points to the shares being undervalued, but could its assumptions be too optimistic?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
SRCE Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
SRCE Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding 1st Source to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

Build Your Own 1st Source Narrative

If you want to look at the numbers yourself or challenge this perspective, try building your own narrative quickly and easily. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding 1st Source.

Looking for more investment ideas?

Don’t stop at just one opportunity. The market rewards those who look beyond the obvious. Set yourself up for success by exploring these high-potential ideas right now.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NasdaqGS:SRCE

1st Source

Operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.

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