
🇵🇹 A portuguese investor focused primarily on value and fundamentals.
https://thefairvaluejournal.com/McDonald’s leans on its scale and efficient restaurants, but softer consumer spending and changing health habits could make growth harder to come by. The case here is that smarter operations and more automation can keep profits rising even if sales cool, with a clear view on what might derail that path.Read more

Procter & Gamble sells everyday staples like detergent, paper goods, and toothpaste, and its brands still give it room to hold pricing power in a crowded market. But as growth stays slow and competition keeps pressure on pricing, the stock may look more expensive than the business momentum supports right now.Read more

Netflix’s streaming lead still looks durable, and the case rests on it turning new tools into a cheaper way to make and recommend shows while keeping viewers hooked. The bigger question is whether intense rivals and the unknown impact of AI can chip away at that advantage before the business matures further.Read more

VICI’s growth may slow as travel and tourism stay uncertain, but the business still throws off a lot of cash and keeps raising its payout to shareholders. The big question is whether today’s price already reflects the risks of a casino-focused real estate owner that can be volatile in a downturn.Read more

Microsoft keeps leaning harder into cloud software while stepping back from its lower-profit lines, and that mix shift could keep the business getting more efficient over time. The catch is that cloud pricing pressure and uncertainty about how AI changes Office could slow that progress—making today’s pricing a closer call than it first appears.Read more

Nike still looks like a strong brand with a loyal customer base, but growth has cooled and the business may need time to find its next stride. The key question is whether today’s price already assumes a smooth rebound, or whether patient buyers might get a better entry if the turnaround takes longer.Read more

Oracle looks like it’s priced for a lot of optimism, even though some signs point to slower returns and higher uncertainty than many investors expect. The story breaks down why different ways of thinking about value lead to very different answers—and what would need to change to make it a clearer buy.Read more

️ Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -2.5/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 12% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 8% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 9.83% +0 ⚠️ Estimated Cost of Capital: 9.83% (around ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +0.50% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 12.36% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 11.63% -1.5 ❌ Estimated Debt Rating: B1 -2 ❌❌ Morningstar Moat: None -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High During the 2030 projections, the Mota-Engil management projected the following for the future of the company: 2026 Revenue Growth : to accelerate to 10-15% Operating Margin to be sustained around 11-12% Net Margin to be maintained around 2.5-3% EPS to grow from 0.43 euros to 0.47-0.60 2030 Revenue Growth 9.000 million by 2030, representing a 10% CAGR Operating Margin to expand into >= 13% Net Margin to expand into >=4% EPS to grow from 0.43 euros to 0.55-1.17 (this are my expectations, given my lower to higher assumptions, presented later on during this valuation). To be honest this confident and overall good projections by the management took me by surprise and I reavaluated my position on the company.Read more

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 9/17 +2 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 20.22% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 4.92% +2 ✅✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 82.83% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 8.14% (less than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -1.79% -1 ❌ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 9.87% (given the easiness of "manipulation" of EPS growth below 10% represents a slight negative) +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 10.47% +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A3 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide +0 ⚠️ Morningstar Uncertainty: Medium Domino's Pizza is a great brand, enjoying a wide moat that results in an operating margin of around ~ 20%. Given the maturity of the business, its revenue growth is below 10% but still modestly above the economy growth rate.Read more
