Stock Analysis

Shiseido Company And 2 Other Japanese Stocks That Could Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value

TSE:6098
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Japan’s stock markets have rebounded strongly, with the Nikkei 225 Index gaining 8.7% and the broader TOPIX Index up 7.9%, driven by better-than-expected U.S. economic data and a stronger-than-anticipated expansion in Japan's GDP for the second quarter. This positive momentum provides an opportune moment to explore stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value, such as Shiseido Company and two other Japanese firms that could offer significant potential for investors looking to capitalize on undervalued assets in a recovering market environment.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Japan

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Link and Motivation (TSE:2170)¥574.00¥1069.5246.3%
Syuppin (TSE:3179)¥1387.00¥2666.8948%
Hagiwara Electric Holdings (TSE:7467)¥3495.00¥6710.6047.9%
Micronics Japan (TSE:6871)¥5240.00¥9759.9046.3%
KATITAS (TSE:8919)¥1769.00¥3174.8144.3%
Shin Maint HoldingsLtd (TSE:6086)¥1525.00¥2845.3246.4%
Insource (TSE:6200)¥890.00¥1612.4944.8%
BayCurrent Consulting (TSE:6532)¥4433.00¥8606.2548.5%
Fudo Tetra (TSE:1813)¥2362.00¥4420.0146.6%
TORIDOLL Holdings (TSE:3397)¥3560.00¥7057.0449.6%

Click here to see the full list of 75 stocks from our Undervalued Japanese Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here's a peek at a few of the choices from the screener.

Shiseido Company (TSE:4911)

Overview: Shiseido Company, Limited is a global cosmetics producer and retailer with a market cap of ¥1.41 trillion.

Operations: Shiseido's revenue segments include Japan Business at ¥281.20 billion, China Business at ¥253.08 billion, Travel Retail Business at ¥122.20 billion, Americas Business at ¥120.34 billion, EMEA Business at ¥134.42 billion, and Asia-Pacific Business at ¥76.29 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 20.9%

Shiseido Company is trading at ¥3520, 20.9% below its estimated fair value of ¥4450.65, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 35% per year, outpacing the JP market's 8.5%. However, profit margins have declined to 1% from last year's 2.8%, and Return on Equity is projected to be low at 11.4%. Recent buyback plans and stable dividends indicate a focus on shareholder value amidst executive changes.

TSE:4911 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024
TSE:4911 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Recruit Holdings (TSE:6098)

Overview: Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. offers HR technology and business solutions that transform the world of work, with a market cap of ¥13.41 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Staffing (¥1.66 billion), HR Technology (¥1.04 billion), and Matching & Solutions (¥0.81 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 10.5%

Recruit Holdings is trading at ¥8,810, approximately 10.5% below its estimated fair value of ¥9,846.54, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent guidance projects revenue between ¥3,300 billion and ¥3,500 billion for fiscal 2024 with operating income up to ¥500 billion. The company has also announced a significant share repurchase program worth ¥600 billion to enhance shareholder returns and strategic flexibility. Earnings are forecast to grow annually by 8.8%, outpacing the JP market's growth rate.

TSE:6098 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024
TSE:6098 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Kokusai Electric (TSE:6525)

Overview: Kokusai Electric Corporation develops, manufactures, sells, repairs, and maintains semiconductor manufacturing equipment globally and has a market cap of ¥981.38 billion.

Operations: Revenue from the semiconductor manufacturing equipment business totals ¥213.35 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 20%

Kokusai Electric is trading at ¥4,175, approximately 20% below its estimated fair value of ¥5,215.93 based on discounted cash flows. For fiscal 2025, the company forecasts revenue of ¥217.50 billion and net income of ¥29 billion. Recent initiatives include a share repurchase program worth ¥18 billion and a dividend increase to ¥16 per share from zero last year. Earnings are projected to grow annually by 18.3%, surpassing the market's rate of 8.5%.

TSE:6525 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024
TSE:6525 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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