Stock Analysis

HDFC Bank (NSE:HDFCBANK) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

NSEI:HDFCBANK
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like HDFC Bank (NSE:HDFCBANK), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide HDFC Bank with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for HDFC Bank

How Quickly Is HDFC Bank Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Impressively, HDFC Bank has grown EPS by 19% per year, compound, in the last three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be beaming.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Our analysis has highlighted that HDFC Bank's revenue from operations did not account for all of their revenue in the previous 12 months, so our analysis of its margins might not accurately reflect the underlying business. HDFC Bank maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 19% to ₹960b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:HDFCBANK Earnings and Revenue History September 29th 2022

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check HDFC Bank's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

Are HDFC Bank Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Owing to the size of HDFC Bank, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a significant proportion of the company. But thanks to their investment in the company, it's pleasing to see that there are still incentives to align their actions with the shareholders. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth ₹36b. We note that this amounts to 0.5% of the company, which may be small owing to the sheer size of HDFC Bank but it's still worth mentioning. This still shows shareholders there is a degree of alignment between management and themselves.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Well, based on the CEO pay, you'd argue that they are indeed. For companies with market capitalisations over ₹653b, like HDFC Bank, the median CEO pay is around ₹107m.

HDFC Bank's CEO took home a total compensation package worth ₹65m in the year leading up to March 2022. That comes in below the average for similar sized companies and seems pretty reasonable. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Is HDFC Bank Worth Keeping An Eye On?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into HDFC Bank's strong EPS growth. If that's not enough, consider also that the CEO pay is quite reasonable, and insiders are well-invested alongside other shareholders. The overarching message here is that HDFC Bank has underlying strengths that make it worth a look at. It is worth noting though that we have found 1 warning sign for HDFC Bank that you need to take into consideration.

The beauty of investing is that you can invest in almost any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HDFC Bank might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.