| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
HFG Stock Overview
HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes.
HelloFresh Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | €32.13 |
| 52 Week High | €97.50 |
| 52 Week Low | €27.02 |
| Beta | 0.098 |
| 1 Month Change | -7.70% |
| 3 Month Change | -28.04% |
| 1 Year Change | -61.14% |
| 3 Year Change | 290.88% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | 203.26% |
Recent News & Updates
These 4 Measures Indicate That HelloFresh (ETR:HFG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Investors Should Be Encouraged By HelloFresh's (ETR:HFG) Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Shareholder Returns
| HFG | DE Consumer Retailing | DE Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 8.3% | 5.1% | -0.5% |
| 1Y | -61.1% | -50.5% | -21.1% |
Return vs Industry: HFG underperformed the German Consumer Retailing industry which returned -50.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: HFG underperformed the German Market which returned -21.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| HFG volatility | |
|---|---|
| HFG Average Weekly Movement | 11.0% |
| Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement | 7.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 5.6% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in DE Market | 10.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in DE Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: HFG is more volatile than 90% of German stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 11% a week.
Volatility Over Time: HFG's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of German stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 14,635 | Dominik Richter | https://www.hellofreshgroup.com |
HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. The company offers premium meals, double portions, and others, as well as add-ons, such as soups, snacks, fruit boxes, desserts, ready-to-eat meals, and seasonal boxes. It also sells meal-kits through vending machines.
HelloFresh Fundamentals Summary
| HFG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | €5.53b |
| Earnings (TTM) | €181.80m |
| Revenue (TTM) | €6.47b |
30.3x
P/E Ratio0.9x
P/S RatioIs HFG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| HFG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | €6.47b |
| Cost of Revenue | €2.22b |
| Gross Profit | €4.25b |
| Other Expenses | €4.06b |
| Earnings | €181.80m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Aug 15, 2022
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.06 |
| Gross Margin | 65.66% |
| Net Profit Margin | 2.81% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 18.9% |
How did HFG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonValuation
Is HFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PEG Ratio
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HFG?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is HFG's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | €5.53b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does HFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| HFG PE Ratio vs Peers |
|---|
| Company | PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 24.5x | ||
HAW Hawesko Holding | 13.8x | 1.8% | €405.2m |
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels | 13.3x | n/a | €104.3m |
DNP Dino Polska | 36.8x | 23.8% | zł31.4b |
3038 Kobe Bussan | 35.5x | 11.9% | JP¥727.9b |
HFG HelloFresh | 30.3x | 24.1% | €5.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does HFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (12.6x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is HFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 30.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 37.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.9x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of HFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: HFG (€32.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€153.07)
Significantly Below Fair Value: HFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: HFG is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.3x)
Discover undervalued companies
Future Growth
How is HelloFresh forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 14 analysts?
Future Growth Score
5/6Future Growth Score 5/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE
24.1%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: HFG's forecast earnings growth (24.1% per year) is above the savings rate (-0.05%).
Earnings vs Market: HFG's earnings (24.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (8.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: HFG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: HFG's revenue (11.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (4.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: HFG's revenue (11.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: HFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.6%)
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Past Performance
How has HelloFresh performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score
3/6Past Performance Score 3/6
Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE
66.0%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: HFG has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: HFG's current net profit margins (2.8%) are lower than last year (9.6%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: HFG has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 66% per year.
Accelerating Growth: HFG's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: HFG had negative earnings growth (-57.8%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Retailing industry average (24.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: HFG's Return on Equity (21.9%) is considered high.
Discover strong past performing companies
Financial Health
How is HelloFresh's financial position?
Financial Health Score
6/6Financial Health Score 6/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: HFG's short term assets (€1.2B) exceed its short term liabilities (€1.0B).
Long Term Liabilities: HFG's short term assets (€1.2B) exceed its long term liabilities (€465.5M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: HFG has more cash than its total debt.
Reducing Debt: HFG's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 63.8% to 18.9% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: HFG's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (286.1%).
Interest Coverage: HFG's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (14.8x coverage).
Balance Sheet
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Dividend
What is HelloFresh current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score
0/6Dividend Score 0/6
Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate HFG's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
High Dividend: Unable to evaluate HFG's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if HFG's dividends per share have been stable in the past.
Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if HFG's dividend payments have been increasing.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as HFG has not reported any payouts.
Discover strong dividend paying companies
Management
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
6.6yrs
Average board tenure
CEO
Dominik Richter (36 yo)
no data
Tenure
Mr. Dominik S. Richter serves as Group Chief Executive Officer and Member of Management Board at HelloFresh SE since 2021. He served as Chief Executive Officer at HelloFresh SE until 2021. He has been the...
Board Members
Experienced Board: HFG's board of directors are considered experienced (6.6 years average tenure).
Ownership
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Ownership Breakdown
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Top Shareholders
Company Information
HelloFresh SE's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
- Name: HelloFresh SE
- Ticker: HFG
- Exchange: XTRA
- Founded: 2011
- Industry: Food Retail
- Sector: Consumer Retailing
- Implied Market Cap: €5.526b
- Shares outstanding: 171.50m
- Website: https://www.hellofreshgroup.com
Number of Employees
Location
- HelloFresh SE
- Prinzenstrasse 89
- Berlin
- Berlin
- 10969
- Germany
Listings
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/06/28 00:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/06/28 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2022/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2021/12/31 |
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.