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HFG

HelloFresh XTRA:HFG Stock Report

Last Price

€32.13

Market Cap

€5.5b

7D

8.3%

1Y

-61.1%

Updated

28 Jun, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
HFG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

HFG Stock Overview

HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes.

HelloFresh Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for HelloFresh
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€32.13
52 Week High€97.50
52 Week Low€27.02
Beta0.098
1 Month Change-7.70%
3 Month Change-28.04%
1 Year Change-61.14%
3 Year Change290.88%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO203.26%

Recent News & Updates

May 03
These 4 Measures Indicate That HelloFresh (ETR:HFG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That HelloFresh (ETR:HFG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...

Apr 12
Investors Should Be Encouraged By HelloFresh's (ETR:HFG) Returns On Capital

Investors Should Be Encouraged By HelloFresh's (ETR:HFG) Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...

Shareholder Returns

HFGDE Consumer RetailingDE Market
7D8.3%5.1%-0.5%
1Y-61.1%-50.5%-21.1%

Return vs Industry: HFG underperformed the German Consumer Retailing industry which returned -50.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HFG underperformed the German Market which returned -21.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HFG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HFG volatility
HFG Average Weekly Movement11.0%
Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement7.2%
Market Average Movement5.6%
10% most volatile stocks in DE Market10.2%
10% least volatile stocks in DE Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: HFG is more volatile than 90% of German stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 11% a week.

Volatility Over Time: HFG's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of German stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201114,635Dominik Richterhttps://www.hellofreshgroup.com

HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. The company offers premium meals, double portions, and others, as well as add-ons, such as soups, snacks, fruit boxes, desserts, ready-to-eat meals, and seasonal boxes. It also sells meal-kits through vending machines.

HelloFresh Fundamentals Summary

How do HelloFresh's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HFG fundamental statistics
Market Cap€5.53b
Earnings (TTM)€181.80m
Revenue (TTM)€6.47b

30.3x

P/E Ratio

0.9x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
HFG income statement (TTM)
Revenue€6.47b
Cost of Revenue€2.22b
Gross Profit€4.25b
Other Expenses€4.06b
Earnings€181.80m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

Aug 15, 2022

Earnings per share (EPS)1.06
Gross Margin65.66%
Net Profit Margin2.81%
Debt/Equity Ratio18.9%

How did HFG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is HFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • PEG Ratio

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HFG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HFG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.9x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

HFG PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for HFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
HAW Hawesko Holding
13.8x1.8%€405.2m
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels
13.3xn/a€104.3m
DNP Dino Polska
36.8x23.8%zł31.4b
3038 Kobe Bussan
35.5x11.9%JP¥727.9b
HFG HelloFresh
30.3x24.1%€5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (12.6x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.3x
Fair PE Ratio37.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HFG (€32.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€153.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: HFG is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.3x)


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Future Growth

How is HelloFresh forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 14 analysts?

Future Growth Score

5/6

Future Growth Score 5/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


24.1%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HFG's forecast earnings growth (24.1% per year) is above the savings rate (-0.05%).

Earnings vs Market: HFG's earnings (24.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HFG's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HFG's revenue (11.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (4.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HFG's revenue (11.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.6%)


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Past Performance

How has HelloFresh performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

3/6

Past Performance Score 3/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


66.0%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: HFG has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: HFG's current net profit margins (2.8%) are lower than last year (9.6%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: HFG has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 66% per year.

Accelerating Growth: HFG's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: HFG had negative earnings growth (-57.8%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Retailing industry average (24.4%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: HFG's Return on Equity (21.9%) is considered high.


Discover strong past performing companies

Financial Health

How is HelloFresh's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: HFG's short term assets (€1.2B) exceed its short term liabilities (€1.0B).

Long Term Liabilities: HFG's short term assets (€1.2B) exceed its long term liabilities (€465.5M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: HFG has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: HFG's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 63.8% to 18.9% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: HFG's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (286.1%).

Interest Coverage: HFG's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (14.8x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Dividend

What is HelloFresh current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate HFG's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate HFG's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if HFG's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if HFG's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as HFG has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

6.6yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Dominik Richter (36 yo)

no data

Tenure

Mr. Dominik S. Richter serves as Group Chief Executive Officer and Member of Management Board at HelloFresh SE since 2021. He served as Chief Executive Officer at HelloFresh SE until 2021. He has been the...


Board Members

Experienced Board: HFG's board of directors are considered experienced (6.6 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

HelloFresh SE's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: HelloFresh SE
  • Ticker: HFG
  • Exchange: XTRA
  • Founded: 2011
  • Industry: Food Retail
  • Sector: Consumer Retailing
  • Implied Market Cap: €5.526b
  • Shares outstanding: 171.50m
  • Website: https://www.hellofreshgroup.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • HelloFresh SE
  • Prinzenstrasse 89
  • Berlin
  • Berlin
  • 10969
  • Germany

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/06/28 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/06/28 00:00
Earnings2022/03/31
Annual Earnings2021/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.