Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies HelloFresh SE (ETR:HFG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for HelloFresh
What Is HelloFresh's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that HelloFresh had €162.2m in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have €467.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €305.0m.
How Healthy Is HelloFresh's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HelloFresh had liabilities of €927.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of €597.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €467.2m in cash and €17.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.04b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since HelloFresh has a market capitalization of €3.67b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, HelloFresh also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Importantly, HelloFresh's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 49% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine HelloFresh's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. HelloFresh may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, HelloFresh produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
Although HelloFresh's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €305.0m. So while HelloFresh does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with HelloFresh (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HFG
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.