The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that HelloFresh SE (ETR:HFG) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does HelloFresh Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2025 HelloFresh had €314.7m of debt, an increase on €163.8m, over one year. However, it does have €519.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €204.5m.
A Look At HelloFresh's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that HelloFresh had liabilities of €1.07b due within a year, and liabilities of €721.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €519.2m as well as receivables valued at €16.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.26b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €1.43b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, HelloFresh boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HelloFresh can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Check out our latest analysis for HelloFresh
In the last year HelloFresh's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
So How Risky Is HelloFresh?
Although HelloFresh had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of €174m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. For riskier companies like HelloFresh I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if HelloFresh might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HFG
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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