Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That HelloFresh (ETR:HFG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

XTRA:HFG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that HelloFresh SE (ETR:HFG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for HelloFresh

What Is HelloFresh's Net Debt?

As you can see below, HelloFresh had €160.8m of debt, at December 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €504.0m in cash, so it actually has €343.2m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:HFG Debt to Equity History March 20th 2023

A Look At HelloFresh's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HelloFresh had liabilities of €970.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of €605.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €504.0m as well as receivables valued at €60.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.01b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since HelloFresh has a market capitalization of €2.73b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, HelloFresh also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that HelloFresh's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 43% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HelloFresh can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While HelloFresh has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, HelloFresh recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While HelloFresh does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €343.2m. So we don't have any problem with HelloFresh's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for HelloFresh (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HelloFresh might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:HFG

HelloFresh

Operates as meal kit provider for home industry.

Undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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