Stock Analysis

Here's Why HelloFresh (ETR:HFG) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

XTRA:HFG
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that HelloFresh SE (ETR:HFG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is HelloFresh's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, HelloFresh had €323.4m of debt, up from €163.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has €487.5m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €164.1m net cash.

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XTRA:HFG Debt to Equity History April 28th 2025

A Look At HelloFresh's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HelloFresh had liabilities of €976.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €768.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €487.5m and €50.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €1.21b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €1.35b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, HelloFresh also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

View our latest analysis for HelloFresh

Shareholders should be aware that HelloFresh's EBIT was down 98% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine HelloFresh's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. HelloFresh may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, HelloFresh reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Summing Up

While HelloFresh does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €164.1m. Despite its cash we think that HelloFresh seems to struggle to grow its EBIT, so we are wary of the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for HelloFresh that you should be aware of before investing here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.