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KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
Followers
233
Total number of followers
Comments
20
Total number of comments
Member Since
2023
Date joined
Financial investor - International financial analyst - Family Office
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ABO Energy GmbH KGaA
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
ABO Wind AG will capitalize on Europe's green transition with projected €50 million profit by 2027
1. Overview of ABO Wind AG ABO Wind AG is a German company specializing in the development of renewable energy projects, primarily wind and solar.
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€34.58
FV
3.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Karoon Energy
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
Karoon Energy will target efficiency and cost reduction with Brazilian FPSO acquisition
Karoon Energy Ltd – Fundamental Analysis Company Overview Karoon Energy Ltd is an ASX-listed international oil and gas exploration and production company with assets in: Brazil : Baúna Project (100% interest) USA : Who Dat, Dome Patrol, Abilene (various interests) Australia : Exploration assets Financial Performance 2024 Full-Year Highlights Revenue : US$776.5 million (+14% YoY) Underlying NPAT : US$214.0 million (+3% YoY) Statutory NPAT : US$127.5 million (↓39% YoY due to non-cash tax adjustments and exploration write-offs) Operating Cash Flow : US$434.6 million Free Cash Flow : US$176.6 million Net Debt : US$8.8 million (↓from US$103.7 million in 2023) Capital Returns : US$85.7 million (dividends + buybacks) Q2 2025 Performance Production (NRI) : 2.94 MMboe (↑25% QoQ) Sales Revenue : US$159.7 million (↑7% QoQ) Capex : US$102.9 million (includes Baúna FPSO acquisition) Net Debt : US$237.9 million (↑due to FPSO acquisition and buybacks) ⚙️ Operational Performance Baúna Project (Brazil) 2024 Production : 7.5 MMbbl FPSO Efficiency : 84.5% in 2024; targeted 88–92% in 2025 FPSO Acquisition : Completed April 2025; expected to reduce opex by US$4–6/bbl from 2026 SPS-92 ESP Issue : Temporary production drop; intervention planned for Q2 2026 Who Dat (USA) 2024 Production : 2.9 MMboe (NRI) 2025 Guidance : 2.3–2.8 MMboe Development : Sidetrack drilling and tieback studies underway; FID for East/South expected by early 2026 ️ Reserves & Resources 2P Reserves (2024) : 67.9 MMboe (↓from 77.5 MMboe due to production) 2C Contingent Resources : 121.4 MMboe (↑17% YoY) Includes Neon (Brazil) and Who Dat East/South (USA) Sustainability & ESG Carbon Neutral (Scope 1 & 2) : Achieved since FY21 Net Zero Target : By 2050 or sooner Social Projects : 21 planned for 2025; aligned with UN SDGs 2025 Guidance (as of August 2025) MetricGuidance Total Production9.7–10.5 MMboeUnit Production Cost (NWI)US$12.5–17.5/boeCapexUS$99–117 millionFinance CostsUS$50–60 millionPetrobras PaymentUS$88 million Investment Considerations ✅ Strengths Diversified production base (Brazil + USA) Strong cash generation and liquidity Strategic FPSO acquisition to improve efficiency Mature development pipeline (Neon, Who Dat East/South) Active capital return policy (dividends + buybacks) ⚠️ Risks Operational reliability issues (e.g., ESP failure at Baúna) High capex and net debt increase in 2025 Commodity price volatility Regulatory and environmental risks in Brazil and USA Conclusion Karoon Energy is fundamentally strong with solid financials, a diversified asset base, and a clear strategy for growth and shareholder returns. However, operational execution and commodity price stability will be key to sustaining performance.
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AU$1.51
FV
14.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
25 days ago
author updated this narrative
IREN
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
IREN will transform from bitcoin miner to leader in AI infrastructure
Key Highlights Financial Performance (Q3 FY25) Record Revenue : $148.1 million Record Adjusted EBITDA : $83.3 million Record EBITDA : $82.7 million Profit After Tax : $24.2 million Avg. Operating Hashrate : 29.4 EH/s Strong Margins : All-in cash cost per BTC mined at $41k vs.
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US$26.07
FV
80.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
60.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
28 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tencent Holdings
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
Tencent Holdings will see revenue grow by 14%
Market (what, how and where Tencent sells) Business (how much Tencent earn) Catalysts. How Tencent make more money in the next 5 years Weixin Video Accounts, Mini Games and Weixin Search enhance user value by creating seamless connections with products, services and content while presenting exciting revenue opportunities.
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HK$813.65
FV
20.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
24
users have followed this narrative
about 1 month ago
author updated this narrative
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
The future of Merlin lies in the management of data centers.
Merlin Propiertis is a Spanish REIT with 4 lines of business: 1. Bureaux 2.
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€19.38
FV
34.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
about 1 month ago
author updated this narrative
Evolution
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
Evolution to Navigate Market Risks with Strategic Growth Initiatives
Risks Financial risk management: market risk (including currency risk and cash flow interest risk), credit risk and liquidity risk. Political decisions and other legal aspects.
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SEK 747.99
FV
8.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
BlackRock
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
BlackRock's 5-Year Projection Shows 1391.79 Fair Value with Strong Growth Ahead
Based on the projections presented by the company on the investor day of March 31, 2025, we will assume 5-year fundamental projection for BlackRock based on its 2024 results and strategic targets: Assumptions Revenue CAGR : 10% annually, aligned with BlackRock’s 2030 ambition. Operating Margin : Maintained at 45% (as adjusted).
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US$1.39k
FV
19.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Neurocrine Biosciences
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
Neurocrine Biosciences is set to achieve a 40x future PE ratio with a 17% revenue boost
Pipeline Crenessity@ CRENESSITY Capsule 50/100 MG $766.66 packaging 50 MG 60u $45,999.60 packaging 100 MG 30u. Starts at approximately $21,338.71 USD for a monthly supply Ingrezza@ Ingrezza (valbenazine) As of July 2025 , the average pharmacy acquisition cost for Ingrezza capsules in the U.S. is approximately: $274.54 per capsule for the 60 mg and 80 mg strengths $250.16 per capsule for the 40 mg strength Other Products: Tetrabenazine Tablet 12.5 MG $62.52 Austedo Tablet 6 MG $100.06 Austedo XR Tablet 6 MG $100.06 Xenazine Tablet 12.5 MG $227.88 Assumptions Risks Risks and uncertainties associated with Neurocrine Biosciences' business and finances in general, risks and uncertainties associated with the commercialization of INGREZZA and CRENESSITY.
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US$244.8
FV
40.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
The future of Rovi is very uncertain, we must wait until the year 2026 to have a clear projection.
Recent Financial Performance In H1 2025, Rovi’s net profit dropped by 10% to €39.7 million. The decline was mainly due to reduced third-party manufacturing, especially COVID-19 vaccine production.
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€51.25
FV
10.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative