Stock Analysis

Is HelloFresh (ETR:HFG) Using Debt Sensibly?

XTRA:HFG
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, HelloFresh SE (ETR:HFG) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for HelloFresh

How Much Debt Does HelloFresh Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, HelloFresh had €186.2m of debt, up from €165.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has €355.6m in cash, leading to a €169.4m net cash position.

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XTRA:HFG Debt to Equity History December 31st 2024

How Healthy Is HelloFresh's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HelloFresh had liabilities of €1.00b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €535.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €355.6m in cash and €17.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.17b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €1.90b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, HelloFresh boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HelloFresh can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, HelloFresh saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

So How Risky Is HelloFresh?

While HelloFresh lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow €63m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with HelloFresh , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HelloFresh might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.