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goeasy (TSX:GSY) Valuation After CEO Transition and Recent Share Price Pullback
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
goeasy (TSX:GSY) is back in focus after announcing a major leadership change, with current CEO Dan Rees set to step down at year end and easyfinancial president Patrick Ens stepping into the top job.
See our latest analysis for goeasy.
That backdrop helps explain why the stock has been choppy recently, with a sharp 90 day share price return of around negative 39 percent pulling year to date performance lower. Even so, the five year total shareholder return remains solidly positive, suggesting long term holders are still ahead despite the latest leadership driven volatility.
If this leadership transition has you rethinking where growth and execution risk sit in your portfolio, it could be worth exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a fresh hunting ground for ideas.
With the shares now trading at a steep discount to analyst targets despite strong multi year growth in revenue and earnings, investors face a key question: is this leadership scare creating a buying window, or is the market correctly discounting future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 39.2% Undervalued
With goeasy last closing at CA$123.61 against a narrative fair value of CA$203.40, the market is pricing in a steep discount to long term potential.
Expansion of secured lending, diversification into new verticals (e.g., auto, home equity, point of sale), and growth in ancillary product sales are increasing average loan size and attachment rates, benefiting revenue and supporting margin resilience despite regulatory rate caps.
Want to see what kind of growth curve and profit margins have to hold up to justify that gap, and which future earnings multiple holds the whole thesis together? The narrative lays out a detailed roadmap of revenue acceleration, margin compression, and share count dynamics that could redefine how investors value this lender. The tension between rapid top line expansion and a deliberately lower future valuation multiple is where the story gets interesting.
Result: Fair Value of $203.40 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, rising credit losses or tighter regulatory caps on non prime lending could quickly erode margins and challenge the bullish growth assumptions underpinning that valuation.
Find out about the key risks to this goeasy narrative.
Build Your Own goeasy Narrative
If you see things differently or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized, data driven narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way
A great starting point for your goeasy research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:GSY
goeasy
Provides non-prime leasing and lending services under the easyhome, easyfinancial, and LendCare brands to consumers in Canada.
Exceptional growth potential, undervalued and pays a dividend.
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