Kepler Weber (BOVESPA:KEPL3) - Share price, News & Analysis

KEPL3 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	1/6
Future Growth	2/6
Past Performance	5/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	2/6

KEPL3 Stock Overview

Kepler Weber S.A. manufactures and sells equipment for grain storage, cleaning, and conveyance applications in Brazil and internationally.

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (5.8x) is below the BR market (8.1x)

Revenue is forecast to grow 8.79% per year

Earnings grew by 203.6% over the past year

Risk Analysis

High level of non-cash earnings

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Kepler Weber Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Kepler Weber
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	R$15.03
52 Week High	R$21.23
52 Week Low	R$10.12
Beta	0.59
1 Month Change	-27.46%
3 Month Change	-15.58%
1 Year Change	-21.09%
3 Year Change	132.90%
5 Year Change	90.90%
Change since IPO	-93.99%

Recent News & Updates

May 26

Should You Be Adding Kepler Weber (BVMF:KEPL3) To Your Watchlist Today?

Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling...

Shareholder Returns

	KEPL3	BR Machinery	BR Market
7D	-8.0%	0.8%	-0.8%
1Y	-21.1%	-22.0%	-29.7%

Return vs Industry: KEPL3 exceeded the BR Machinery industry which returned -23.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: KEPL3 exceeded the BR Market which returned -31.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is KEPL3's price volatile compared to industry and market?
KEPL3 volatility
KEPL3 Average Weekly Movement	6.2%
Machinery Industry Average Movement	6.1%
Market Average Movement	5.9%
10% most volatile stocks in BR Market	9.2%
10% least volatile stocks in BR Market	2.8%

Stable Share Price: KEPL3 is not significantly more volatile than the rest of BR stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 6% a week.

Volatility Over Time: KEPL3's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1925	n/a	Piero Abbondi	https://www.kepler.com.br

Kepler Weber S.A. manufactures and sells equipment for grain storage, cleaning, and conveyance applications in Brazil and internationally. It offers flat or elevated silos, bucket elevators, current and belt conveyors, sweeping screws, plumbing products, bifurcated and pendular products, dryers, belts, galvanized sieves, control boards, and zero shell capture products, as well as metallic structures. The company was founded in 1925 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.

Kepler Weber Fundamentals Summary

How do Kepler Weber's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
KEPL3 fundamental statistics
Market Cap	R$1.35b
Earnings (TTM)	R$231.07m
Revenue (TTM)	R$1.43b

5.8x

P/E Ratio

0.9x

P/S Ratio

Is KEPL3 overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
KEPL3 income statement (TTM)
Revenue	R$1.43b
Cost of Revenue	R$978.30m
Gross Profit	R$449.30m
Other Expenses	R$218.23m
Earnings	R$231.07m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	2.58
Gross Margin	31.47%
Net Profit Margin	16.19%
Debt/Equity Ratio	11.6%

How did KEPL3 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.3%

Current Dividend Yield

16%

Payout Ratio

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is KEPL3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PEG Ratio

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KEPL3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for KEPL3. This is calculated by dividing KEPL3's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is KEPL3's n/a Ratio?
n/a Ratio	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	R$1.35b

KEPL3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	3.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KEPL3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

KEPL3 PE Ratio vs Peers

The above table shows the PE ratio for KEPL3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	5.9x

Forward PE

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KEPL3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (5.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KEPL3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Machinery Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KEPL3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the BR Machinery industry average (5.2x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KEPL3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KEPL3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5.8x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KEPL3's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KEPL3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KEPL3 (R$15.03) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$7.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KEPL3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KEPL3's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.

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Future Growth

How is Kepler Weber forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

Future Growth Score

2/6

Future Growth Score 2/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

8.8%

Forecasted annual revenue growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if KEPL3's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (9.1%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if KEPL3's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the BR market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if KEPL3's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: KEPL3's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the BR market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KEPL3's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KEPL3's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28.1%)

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Past Performance

How has Kepler Weber performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

5/6

Past Performance Score 5/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

67.6%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: KEPL3 has a high level of non-cash earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: KEPL3's current net profit margins (16.2%) are higher than last year (9.8%).

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: KEPL3 has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 67.6% per year.

Accelerating Growth: KEPL3's earnings growth over the past year (203.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (67.6% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: KEPL3 earnings growth over the past year (203.6%) exceeded the Machinery industry 38.3%.

Return on Equity

High ROE: KEPL3's Return on Equity (46.8%) is considered outstanding.

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Financial Health

How is Kepler Weber's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: KEPL3's short term assets (R$665.0M) exceed its short term liabilities (R$482.4M).

Long Term Liabilities: KEPL3's short term assets (R$665.0M) exceed its long term liabilities (R$65.0M).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: KEPL3 has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: KEPL3's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 23.3% to 11.6% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: KEPL3's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (185.9%).

Interest Coverage: KEPL3 earns more interest than it pays, so coverage of interest payments is not a concern.

Balance Sheet

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Dividend

What is Kepler Weber current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

2/6

Dividend Score 2/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

1.28%

Current Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: KEPL3's dividend (1.28%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the BR market (1.74%).

High Dividend: KEPL3's dividend (1.28%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the BR market (7.74%).

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: KEPL3 has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: KEPL3's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 9 years.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its low payout ratio (16%), KEPL3's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (24.2%), KEPL3's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.

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Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

CEO

Piero Abbondi

no data

Tenure

Piero Abbondi serves as Chief Executive Officer and Member of Executive Board at Kepler Weber S.A. and served as its IRO.

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 13.6%.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/06/25 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/06/24 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31