Stock Analysis

Kepler Weber (BVMF:KEPL3) Will Pay A Dividend Of R$0.4038

BOVESPA:KEPL3
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Kepler Weber S.A. (BVMF:KEPL3) will pay a dividend of R$0.4038 on the 16th of April. The dividend yield of 6.7% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

Kepler Weber's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Kepler Weber's earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 37.0% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 66% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
BOVESPA:KEPL3 Historic Dividend March 31st 2025

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Kepler Weber's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Kepler Weber has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2016, the dividend has gone from R$0.0167 total annually to R$0.522. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 47% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that Kepler Weber has grown earnings per share at 37% per year over the past five years. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.

Kepler Weber Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In general, we don't like to see the dividend being cut, especially when the company has such high potential like Kepler Weber does. The cut will allow the company to continue paying out the dividend without putting the balance sheet under pressure, which means that it could remain sustainable for longer. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kepler Weber that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.