Stock Analysis

Does Kepler Weber (BVMF:KEPL3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:KEPL3
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Kepler Weber S.A. (BVMF:KEPL3) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kepler Weber

What Is Kepler Weber's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Kepler Weber had R$146.2m of debt, an increase on R$57.4m, over one year. However, it does have R$298.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of R$152.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:KEPL3 Debt to Equity History November 17th 2022

How Healthy Is Kepler Weber's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kepler Weber had liabilities of R$590.0m due within a year, and liabilities of R$93.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had R$298.7m in cash and R$268.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$115.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Kepler Weber has a market capitalization of R$2.00b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kepler Weber also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Better yet, Kepler Weber grew its EBIT by 308% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kepler Weber can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Kepler Weber has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Kepler Weber recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Kepler Weber has R$152.4m in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 308% over the last year. So is Kepler Weber's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Kepler Weber (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kepler Weber might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.