Stock Analysis

Kepler Weber S.A. (BVMF:KEPL3) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

BOVESPA:KEPL3
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Kepler Weber's (BVMF:KEPL3) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.8% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Kepler Weber's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Kepler Weber

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kepler Weber is:

13% = R$68m ÷ R$514m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.13.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Kepler Weber's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

When you first look at it, Kepler Weber's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 13%, we may spare it some thought. Moreover, we are quite pleased to see that Kepler Weber's net income grew significantly at a rate of 33% over the last five years. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing Kepler Weber's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 33% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:KEPL3 Past Earnings Growth January 12th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Kepler Weber's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Kepler Weber Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for Kepler Weber is 30%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 70%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Kepler Weber is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Additionally, Kepler Weber has paid dividends over a period of eight years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Kepler Weber has some positive attributes. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Kepler Weber visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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