Stock Analysis

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia's (ASX:GMA) Shareholders Are Down 27% On Their Shares

ASX:HLI
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Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. That downside risk was realized by Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Limited (ASX:GMA) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 27%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 2.7%. On the other hand, the stock is actually up 3.2% over three years. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 11%.

View our latest analysis for Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia fell to a loss making position during the year. Buyers no doubt think it's a temporary situation, but those with a nose for quality have low tolerance for losses. We hope for shareholders' sake that the company becomes profitable again soon.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:GMA Earnings Per Share Growth February 22nd 2021

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia had a tough year, with a total loss of 25%, against a market gain of about 2.7%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 14% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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