Helia Group Limited

ASX:HLI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.2b

Helia Group Valuation

Is HLI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLI (A$4.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$14.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLI?

Key metric: As HLI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLI. This is calculated by dividing HLI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.5x
EarningsAU$224.62m
Market CapAU$1.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10x
LFG Liberty Financial Group
8.7x10.3%AU$1.0b
PPM Pepper Money
5.9x9.4%AU$618.2m
AFG Australian Finance Group
14.1xn/aAU$408.9m
RMC Resimac Group
11.3x22.7%AU$390.0m
HLI Helia Group
5.5x-34.1%AU$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (10x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HLI 5.5xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the Global Diversified Financial industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ratio9.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.47
AU$4.06
-9.2%
4.8%AU$4.29AU$3.80n/a4
Dec ’25AU$4.47
AU$4.06
-9.2%
4.8%AU$4.29AU$3.80n/a4
Nov ’25AU$4.19
AU$4.06
-3.1%
4.8%AU$4.29AU$3.80n/a4
Oct ’25AU$4.06
AU$3.99
-1.8%
4.7%AU$4.29AU$3.80n/a4
Sep ’25AU$4.10
AU$3.99
-2.7%
4.7%AU$4.29AU$3.80n/a4
Aug ’25AU$4.00
AU$4.02
+0.5%
8.0%AU$4.53AU$3.65n/a4
Jul ’25AU$3.86
AU$4.02
+4.1%
8.0%AU$4.53AU$3.65n/a4
Jun ’25AU$4.12
AU$4.08
-1.0%
6.5%AU$4.53AU$3.88n/a4
May ’25AU$3.83
AU$4.07
+6.2%
6.1%AU$4.47AU$3.80n/a4
Apr ’25AU$3.91
AU$4.07
+4.0%
6.1%AU$4.47AU$3.80n/a4
Mar ’25AU$4.19
AU$4.07
-2.9%
6.1%AU$4.47AU$3.80n/a4
Feb ’25AU$4.79
AU$3.69
-22.9%
10.3%AU$4.09AU$3.08n/a4
Jan ’25AU$4.35
AU$3.69
-15.1%
10.3%AU$4.09AU$3.08n/a4
Dec ’24AU$4.14
AU$3.69
-10.8%
10.3%AU$4.09AU$3.08AU$4.474
Nov ’24AU$3.59
AU$3.55
-1.0%
9.9%AU$4.04AU$3.10AU$4.194
Oct ’24AU$3.49
AU$3.55
+1.8%
9.9%AU$4.04AU$3.10AU$4.064
Sep ’24AU$3.98
AU$3.55
-10.9%
9.7%AU$4.02AU$3.10AU$4.104
Aug ’24AU$3.82
AU$3.31
-13.5%
15.3%AU$4.02AU$2.60AU$4.004
Jul ’24AU$3.46
AU$3.25
-6.1%
15.6%AU$4.02AU$2.60AU$3.864
Jun ’24AU$3.35
AU$3.24
-3.4%
15.7%AU$4.02AU$2.60AU$4.124
May ’24AU$3.20
AU$3.17
-0.9%
15.4%AU$3.88AU$2.50AU$3.834
Apr ’24AU$2.87
AU$3.17
+10.5%
15.4%AU$3.88AU$2.50AU$3.914
Mar ’24AU$3.42
AU$3.17
-7.3%
15.4%AU$3.88AU$2.50AU$4.194
Feb ’24AU$2.82
AU$2.96
+5.0%
13.9%AU$3.56AU$2.40AU$4.794
Jan ’24AU$2.75
AU$2.95
+7.2%
14.5%AU$3.56AU$2.35AU$4.354
Dec ’23AU$2.73
AU$2.94
+7.7%
14.2%AU$3.53AU$2.35AU$4.144

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 07:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Helia Group Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kristen Le MesurierAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Ashley DalziellCGS International