Australian Finance Group Limited

ASX:AFG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$417.0m

Australian Finance Group Valuation

Is AFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AFG (A$1.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AFG?

Key metric: As AFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AFG. This is calculated by dividing AFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.2x
EarningsAU$28.98m
Market CapAU$416.98m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
PPM Pepper Money
5.6x9.4%AU$581.0m
RMC Resimac Group
9.7x22.7%AU$336.0m
LFG Liberty Financial Group
8.4x10.3%AU$972.2m
HLI Helia Group
5.4x-34.1%AU$1.2b
AFG Australian Finance Group
14.2xn/aAU$411.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Diversified Financial Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AFG 14.2xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies75PE01224364860+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the Global Diversified Financial industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AFG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.52
AU$1.63
+7.2%
1.2%AU$1.65AU$1.61n/a2
Nov ’25AU$1.62
AU$1.63
+0.6%
1.2%AU$1.65AU$1.61n/a2
Oct ’25AU$1.59
AU$1.81
+14.0%
13.9%AU$2.16AU$1.61n/a3
Sep ’25AU$1.60
AU$1.76
+10.0%
16.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.50
AU$1.69
+13.3%
19.5%AU$2.16AU$1.45n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.37
AU$1.71
+25.3%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.45
AU$1.71
+17.9%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
May ’25AU$1.48
AU$1.71
+15.5%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.63
AU$1.71
+4.9%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Mar ’25AU$1.46
AU$1.71
+17.5%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Feb ’25AU$1.60
AU$1.60
-0.2%
6.9%AU$1.75AU$1.50n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.56
AU$1.59
+1.7%
7.6%AU$1.75AU$1.46n/a3
Dec ’24AU$1.51
AU$1.64
+8.7%
7.7%AU$1.75AU$1.46n/a3
Nov ’24AU$1.35
AU$1.64
+21.7%
7.7%AU$1.75AU$1.46AU$1.623
Oct ’24AU$1.46
AU$1.78
+22.1%
15.4%AU$2.22AU$1.46AU$1.594
Sep ’24AU$1.61
AU$1.78
+10.7%
15.4%AU$2.22AU$1.46AU$1.604
Aug ’24AU$1.85
AU$1.91
+3.4%
11.9%AU$2.22AU$1.61AU$1.504
Jul ’24AU$1.79
AU$1.91
+6.6%
11.9%AU$2.22AU$1.61AU$1.374
Jun ’24AU$1.71
AU$1.92
+12.4%
10.8%AU$2.22AU$1.67AU$1.454
May ’24AU$1.60
AU$1.92
+20.2%
10.8%AU$2.22AU$1.67AU$1.484
Apr ’24AU$1.49
AU$1.92
+29.0%
10.8%AU$2.22AU$1.67AU$1.634
Mar ’24AU$1.57
AU$2.09
+33.2%
17.0%AU$2.47AU$1.67AU$1.464
Feb ’24AU$1.71
AU$2.17
+26.9%
12.6%AU$2.47AU$1.81AU$1.604
Jan ’24AU$1.46
AU$2.17
+49.1%
12.6%AU$2.47AU$1.81AU$1.564
Dec ’23AU$1.66
AU$2.20
+32.6%
13.6%AU$2.50AU$1.81AU$1.514
Nov ’23AU$1.73
AU$2.30
+33.5%
8.0%AU$2.50AU$2.09AU$1.354

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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