Australian Finance Group Limited

ASX:AFG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$408.9m

Australian Finance Group Valuation

Is AFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AFG (A$1.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AFG?

Key metric: As AFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AFG. This is calculated by dividing AFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.1x
EarningsAU$28.98m
Market CapAU$408.86m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.8x
PPM Pepper Money
5.9x9.4%AU$618.2m
RMC Resimac Group
11.3x22.7%AU$392.0m
LFG Liberty Financial Group
8.5x10.3%AU$984.3m
HLI Helia Group
5.5x-34.1%AU$1.2b
AFG Australian Finance Group
14.1xn/aAU$408.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AFG 14.1xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the Global Diversified Financial industry average (16.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AFG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.51
AU$1.63
+7.9%
1.2%AU$1.65AU$1.61n/a2
Dec ’25AU$1.54
AU$1.63
+6.2%
1.2%AU$1.65AU$1.61n/a2
Nov ’25AU$1.62
AU$1.63
+0.6%
1.2%AU$1.65AU$1.61n/a2
Oct ’25AU$1.59
AU$1.81
+14.0%
13.9%AU$2.16AU$1.61n/a3
Sep ’25AU$1.60
AU$1.76
+10.0%
16.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Aug ’25AU$1.50
AU$1.69
+13.3%
19.5%AU$2.16AU$1.45n/a3
Jul ’25AU$1.37
AU$1.71
+25.3%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Jun ’25AU$1.45
AU$1.71
+17.9%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
May ’25AU$1.48
AU$1.71
+15.5%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.63
AU$1.71
+4.9%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Mar ’25AU$1.46
AU$1.71
+17.5%
18.6%AU$2.16AU$1.47n/a3
Feb ’25AU$1.60
AU$1.60
-0.2%
6.9%AU$1.75AU$1.50n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.56
AU$1.59
+1.7%
7.6%AU$1.75AU$1.46n/a3
Dec ’24AU$1.51
AU$1.64
+8.7%
7.7%AU$1.75AU$1.46AU$1.543
Nov ’24AU$1.35
AU$1.64
+21.7%
7.7%AU$1.75AU$1.46AU$1.623
Oct ’24AU$1.46
AU$1.78
+22.1%
15.4%AU$2.22AU$1.46AU$1.594
Sep ’24AU$1.61
AU$1.78
+10.7%
15.4%AU$2.22AU$1.46AU$1.604
Aug ’24AU$1.85
AU$1.91
+3.4%
11.9%AU$2.22AU$1.61AU$1.504
Jul ’24AU$1.79
AU$1.91
+6.6%
11.9%AU$2.22AU$1.61AU$1.374
Jun ’24AU$1.71
AU$1.92
+12.4%
10.8%AU$2.22AU$1.67AU$1.454
May ’24AU$1.60
AU$1.92
+20.2%
10.8%AU$2.22AU$1.67AU$1.484
Apr ’24AU$1.49
AU$1.92
+29.0%
10.8%AU$2.22AU$1.67AU$1.634
Mar ’24AU$1.57
AU$2.09
+33.2%
17.0%AU$2.47AU$1.67AU$1.464
Feb ’24AU$1.71
AU$2.17
+26.9%
12.6%AU$2.47AU$1.81AU$1.604
Jan ’24AU$1.46
AU$2.17
+49.1%
12.6%AU$2.47AU$1.81AU$1.564
Dec ’23AU$1.66
AU$2.20
+32.6%
13.6%AU$2.50AU$1.81AU$1.514

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 06:15
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Australian Finance Group Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas StrongCitigroup Inc
Thomas StrongCitigroup Inc