Pepper Money Valuation
Is PPM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Analyst Forecast
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PPM?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is PPM's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | AU$576.09m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | -2.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does PPM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 7.5x | ||
AFG Australian Finance Group | 14.9x | 13.0% | AU$455.4m |
HLI Helia Group | 5.7x | -16.8% | AU$1.1b |
RMC Resimac Group | 4.2x | 4.6% | AU$365.9m |
LFG Liberty Financial Group | 5.4x | -3.4% | AU$1.1b |
PPM Pepper Money | 4.1x | -1.9% | AU$576.1m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PPM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does PPM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Diversified Financial Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PPM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the Global Diversified Financial industry average (13.5x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PPM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 4.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 10.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PPM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PPM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: PPM (A$1.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.15)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PPM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | AU$1.31 | AU$1.89 +44.3% | 21.4% | AU$2.88 | AU$1.50 | n/a | 9 |
| May ’24 | AU$1.34 | AU$1.89 +41.0% | 21.4% | AU$2.88 | AU$1.50 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’24 | AU$1.32 | AU$1.95 +47.6% | 28.2% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.50 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’24 | AU$1.45 | AU$1.95 +34.4% | 28.2% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.50 | n/a | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | AU$1.58 | AU$2.16 +37.3% | 25.6% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 8 |
| Jan ’24 | AU$1.42 | AU$2.16 +52.3% | 25.6% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 8 |
| Dec ’23 | AU$1.50 | AU$2.16 +44.2% | 25.6% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’23 | AU$1.49 | AU$2.16 +45.6% | 25.6% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 8 |
| Oct ’23 | AU$1.40 | AU$2.20 +57.7% | 25.7% | AU$3.39 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 8 |
| Sep ’23 | AU$1.50 | AU$2.03 +35.3% | 18.1% | AU$2.50 | AU$1.55 | n/a | 7 |
| Aug ’23 | AU$1.63 | AU$2.06 +26.4% | 27.9% | AU$3.00 | AU$1.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Jul ’23 | AU$1.25 | AU$2.06 +65.5% | 27.9% | AU$3.00 | AU$1.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’23 | AU$1.87 | AU$2.91 +55.4% | 2.6% | AU$3.00 | AU$2.80 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’23 | AU$2.20 | AU$2.91 +32.1% | 2.6% | AU$3.00 | AU$2.80 | AU$1.34 | 4 |
| Apr ’23 | AU$2.07 | AU$2.88 +39.3% | 3.2% | AU$3.00 | AU$2.79 | AU$1.32 | 4 |
| Mar ’23 | AU$1.90 | AU$2.88 +52.2% | 3.2% | AU$3.00 | AU$2.79 | AU$1.45 | 4 |
| Feb ’23 | AU$2.04 | AU$3.30 +61.9% | 6.9% | AU$3.56 | AU$3.05 | AU$1.58 | 4 |
| Jan ’23 | AU$2.16 | AU$3.30 +52.9% | 6.9% | AU$3.56 | AU$3.05 | AU$1.42 | 4 |
| Dec ’22 | AU$2.11 | AU$3.30 +56.5% | 6.9% | AU$3.56 | AU$3.05 | AU$1.50 | 4 |
| Nov ’22 | AU$2.38 | AU$3.39 +42.5% | 2.9% | AU$3.50 | AU$3.25 | AU$1.49 | 4 |
| Oct ’22 | AU$2.46 | AU$3.39 +37.9% | 2.9% | AU$3.50 | AU$3.25 | AU$1.40 | 4 |
| Sep ’22 | AU$2.72 | AU$3.44 +26.5% | 1.9% | AU$3.50 | AU$3.35 | AU$1.50 | 3 |
| Aug ’22 | AU$2.52 | AU$3.43 +36.3% | 3.8% | AU$3.55 | AU$3.25 | AU$1.63 | 3 |
| Jul ’22 | AU$2.64 | AU$3.53 +33.9% | 0.7% | AU$3.55 | AU$3.50 | AU$1.25 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.