Tesla (TSLA) Stock Overview
Designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
TSLA Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
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Tesla, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$365.44 |
| 52 Week High | US$498.83 |
| 52 Week Low | US$297.38 |
| Beta | 1.85 |
| 1 Month Change | 6.77% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.69% |
| 1 Year Change | -10.88% |
| 3 Year Change | 37.76% |
| 5 Year Change | 50.15% |
| Change since IPO | 22,845.17% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10
LiDAR's Falling Costs Challenge Tesla's Robotaxi Valuation, Consider TSLQ
Summary Tesla, Inc. is significantly overvalued, with its current price reflecting full success in Level 5 FSD and robotics, leaving little margin for error. TSLA’s camera-only FSD approach faces rising competition as Waymo’s multi-sensor Level 4 system demonstrates superior safety and falling LiDAR costs erode Tesla’s cost advantage. TSLA’s declining margins, pressured free cash flow, and persistent share dilution contrast sharply with its lofty valuation multiples and aggressive future expectations. I recommend using the Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF, TSLQ, to tactically capture sharp TSLA downturns following hype-driven surges above $380. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Sep 09
TSLA: Robotaxi And AI Capex Surge Will Sustain Margin Pressure
Analysts have nudged Tesla's fair value estimate higher to $167.03 per share, reflecting modestly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and long term AI and robotaxi optionality, even as many Street price targets have recently been trimmed and remain highly dependent on progress in autonomy, Optimus, and the potential SpaceX tie up. Analyst Commentary Tesla continues to draw sharply different views from Wall Street, with recent research highlighting both growing interest in autonomy, AI and a possible SpaceX combination, and concern about execution risk, cash burn, and the pace of robotaxi and Optimus monetisation.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10
LiDAR's Falling Costs Challenge Tesla's Robotaxi Valuation, Consider TSLQ
Summary Tesla, Inc. is significantly overvalued, with its current price reflecting full success in Level 5 FSD and robotics, leaving little margin for error. TSLA’s camera-only FSD approach faces rising competition as Waymo’s multi-sensor Level 4 system demonstrates superior safety and falling LiDAR costs erode Tesla’s cost advantage. TSLA’s declining margins, pressured free cash flow, and persistent share dilution contrast sharply with its lofty valuation multiples and aggressive future expectations. I recommend using the Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF, TSLQ, to tactically capture sharp TSLA downturns following hype-driven surges above $380. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Sep 09
TSLA: Robotaxi And AI Capex Surge Will Sustain Margin Pressure
Analysts have nudged Tesla's fair value estimate higher to $167.03 per share, reflecting modestly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and long term AI and robotaxi optionality, even as many Street price targets have recently been trimmed and remain highly dependent on progress in autonomy, Optimus, and the potential SpaceX tie up. Analyst Commentary Tesla continues to draw sharply different views from Wall Street, with recent research highlighting both growing interest in autonomy, AI and a possible SpaceX combination, and concern about execution risk, cash burn, and the pace of robotaxi and Optimus monetisation.
Narrative Update • Aug 26
TSLA: Physical AI And Energy Buildout Will Drive Future Autonomy Upside
Analysts trimmed the Tesla fair value estimate from about $421 to $390. This reflects slightly lower assumed profit margins and valuation multiples, even as projected revenue growth edges higher and higher risk assumptions are applied.Narrative Update • Aug 12
TSLA: Heavy AI Buildout And SpaceX Tie-Up Risk Will Pressure Margins
Tesla's fair value estimate has been adjusted from $167.07 to $163.47 as analysts moderate assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins and price targets, while still highlighting ongoing investment in autonomy, robotaxis and humanoid robotics as key parts of the story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla points to a mixed but increasingly cautious tone.
New Narrative • Aug 03
Energy Compounds, Robotaxi Arrives Late, And The Discount Rate Does The Damage
Start from the trough Q2 2026 is the baseline: record revenue of $28.24bn and record deliveries of 480,126, but operating income down 57% to $398m, a 1.4% operating margin, negative free cash flow for the quarter, and $0.33 adjusted EPS against ~$0.53 expected. On a trailing basis Tesla now runs a 4.13% operating margin and a 3.67% profit margin, with $18.69bn of operating cash flow against $12.92bn of capex ($5.76bn of free cash flow) and a net cash position of $27.44bn.Analysis Article • Aug 02
Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Shareholders
Investors were disappointed by Tesla, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) latest earnings release. Our analysis has found some...Narrative Update • Jul 29
TSLA: Heavy AI And Robotics Spending Will Keep Margins Under Pressure
Tesla's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $202.91 to $167.07 as analysts trim price targets following weaker margins and higher AI and robotics investment, while still highlighting potential long-term benefits from robotaxis, Optimus, and possible SpaceX integration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla points to a mixed picture.Narrative Update • Jul 15
TSLA: Safety Scrutiny On Autonomy Will Pressure AI Narrative Premium
Analysts have nudged their blended fair value target for Tesla higher to about $203 per share from roughly $199, reflecting a mix of upward price target revisions tied to stronger than expected auto and energy deliveries and growing, though still debated, expectations around long-term contributions from Robotaxi, Optimus, and broader physical AI initiatives. Analyst Commentary Research coverage on Tesla continues to cluster around consistent themes, with many investors weighing strong recent delivery data and energy activity against questions on valuation and how quickly Robotaxi, Optimus, and broader physical AI efforts can add meaningfully to financial results.Narrative Update • Jun 29
TSLA: Safety Probes And Autonomy Delays Will Challenge AI Narrative Premium
The analyst price target for Tesla has been raised from $175.78 to $198.57 as analysts factor in slightly higher modeled revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. This is tied to ongoing focus on robotaxis, Optimus, and AI driven narratives over near term delivery trends.Analysis Article • Jun 21
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Could Be 31.9% Undervalued After AI Spending Rise And FSD Scrutiny
Tesla (TSLA) is back in focus after raising its full year capital spending plans related to AI projects and robotaxis, while regulators in Europe and the U.S. scrutinize its Full Self Driving safety data and speed limit features. See our latest analysis for Tesla. Tesla’s 1 day share price return of 1.04% sits against a weaker 30 day share price return, down 4.15%, while a 24.31% 1 year total shareholder return points to longer term momentum despite recent regulatory headlines and higher AI...Narrative Update • Jun 15
TSLA: Physical AI And Energy Investments Will Offset Autonomy And Demand Concerns
Analysts have increased their Tesla fair value estimate by about $5 to roughly $421, reflecting slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and ongoing debate over how much value to assign to the company's autonomous driving and physical AI ambitions versus mixed near term demand signals. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla highlights a wide spread between bullish views that focus on autonomy and physical AI, and more cautious views that center on demand, execution risk, and valuation.
Narrative Update • Jun 01
TSLA: Autonomy And AI Execution Will Drive Future Robotaxi Repricing
Analysts have nudged Tesla's price target higher by a few dollars to reflect slightly stronger modeled revenue growth, modestly improved profit margins, and a marginally lower discount rate, while still recognizing mixed views around execution, capital spending, and the pace of progress in autonomy and AI. Analyst Commentary Tesla continues to sit at the center of a wide debate, with research houses split between enthusiasm around autonomy and energy storage and concern around execution risk, capital intensity, and near term demand signals.Narrative Update • May 12
TSLA: Autonomous And AI Platforms Will Drive Long-Term Equity Repricing
Analysts have made only modest tweaks to Tesla's discount rate and growth assumptions, but a sharp reset in expected profit margin and a much higher assumed future P/E now sit behind the updated $600 price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide range of opinions, but there is a clear group of bullish analysts who see meaningful upside potential tied to execution in autonomy, AI and the core vehicle and energy businesses.Narrative Update • Apr 28
TSLA: Autonomy And Safety Set To Pressure Rich Future Earnings Multiple
Tesla's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from about $118.61 to roughly $175.78. Analysts point to mixed but generally constructive updates on price targets, as well as ongoing debates over autonomy, AI progress, and Q1 execution as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Apr 14
TSLA: AI And Energy Expansion Will Offset Autonomy Execution Concerns
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price target slightly lower to about $415 from roughly $421, reflecting recent target cuts across the Street and updated views on growth, profitability and the valuation multiple applied to future earnings. Analyst Commentary Street research on Tesla currently shows a split view, with some price targets moving higher and others shifting lower, as analysts recalibrate for execution risks, capital needs and the value investors may be assigning to new AI and energy opportunities.New Narrative • Mar 31
Is Tesla a Stock or a Call Option? - A valuation nightmare!
TLDR Tesla is not being valued like a car company , but like a bundle of future bets sitting on top of a real operating business. The real upside the market is paying for is Robotaxi, Optimus / Physical AI, and Elon Musk premium.Narrative Update • Mar 30
TSLA: AI And Energy Expansion Will Outweigh Autonomy And Auto Execution Risks
Tesla's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $421 from $422, as analysts factor in more tempered revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partially offset by higher long term P/E expectations and mixed views on robotaxi, energy and AI execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla reflects a wide range of expectations around valuation, execution in new business lines, and the durability of its competitive position in autonomous driving and energy.
New Narrative • Mar 28
The academically fascinating Tesla
Paraphrasing Charlie Munger, I would neither buy nor short Tesla, Inc. at present.Narrative Update • Mar 16
TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Confront Auto And Autonomy Execution Risks
Narrative Update: Tesla The updated analyst price target for Tesla shifts slightly to about $422, as analysts factor in modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher discount rate. This comes alongside mixed but generally constructive research that highlights Tesla's role in autonomous driving and energy, while acknowledging execution and cost risks.New Narrative • Mar 07
Tesla will achieve a 392% PE ratio increase according to recent forecasts
Tesla (TSLA) Investment Narrative Tesla is one of the most prominent companies in the global transition toward electric vehicles and sustainable energy. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery storage systems, and solar energy products.Narrative Update • Mar 02
TSLA: Energy And Physical AI Expansion Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts kept their Tesla fair value estimate unchanged at $600, while adjusting assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a wider spread of recent price target changes and an increasing focus on the potential contribution from the Energy and AI businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who see upside tied to execution in Energy and AI, as well as to progress in autonomous driving and robotics.New Narrative • Feb 21
The Transition From Automaker To AI Behemoth Is Underway, But Priced In
Summary Tesla is actively transitioning its core business from automotive sales to real-world AI, including autonomous driving and humanoid robots. Robotaxi testing is progressing well, with plans to remove safety monitors and expand to seven new US cities in early 2026.New Narrative • Feb 21
Tesla's Revenue to Soar 16% as Fair Value Hits 391.81 in Five Years
TESLA INC. NASDAQ: TSLA The Most Controversial Bet in Investing An Equity Narrative for Simply Wall St | February 2026 1.Narrative Update • Feb 16
TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged their Tesla fair value estimate slightly higher to $421.73, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and Tesla's potential in areas like full self driving, physical AI, and energy, even as individual price targets across the Street have moved both up and down in recent weeks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide range of views, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them.Narrative Update • Feb 02
TSLA: AI And Autonomy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher to around US$419 from about US$391, reflecting updated models that apply a richer future P/E assumption, even as they factor in more conservative revenue growth and profit margin expectations, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, even as many firms revisit their price targets and long term assumptions.
Narrative Update • Jan 29
The "Physical AI" Pivot is Now Obvious and Irreversible
For years, the debate has raged: Is Tesla a car company or a tech company? The Q4 2025 results didn't just answer that with words; they answered it with structural action.Narrative Update • Jan 19
TSLA: Autonomy And Robotaxi Progress Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher by aligning models with slightly lower discount rates, marginally firmer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Recent research highlights both upside tied to full self driving and robotaxi potential, as well as ongoing concerns about auto fundamentals and execution risk.Narrative Update • Jan 05
TSLA: AI And Robotics Ambitions Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts have raised their Tesla fair value estimate from $500 to $600. They point to updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, even as recent research still highlights risks around delivery trends, spending plans, and governance.Narrative Update • Dec 15
TSLA: AI And Autonomy Focus Will Deepen Risks From Weakening Core Demand
Analysts have modestly trimmed their Tesla price target to approximately $391 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and marginally lower long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to see meaningful upside from AI, autonomy and energy storage over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla reflects a wide dispersion of views, with some firms leaning into the company’s AI and robotics optionality while others remain focused on execution risk in the core auto and capital intensity of the growth agenda.Narrative Update • Dec 01
TSLA: Leadership Moves And Delivery Trends Will Define Upside Versus Mounting Execution Risks
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Tesla, citing sustained revenue growth expectations and stabilization in electric vehicle deliveries. This comes despite continued concerns over margin pressure and rising capital expenditures.Narrative Update • Nov 17
TSLA: Mixed Delivery Trends And Execution Risks Will Shape Outlook Amid Leadership Uncertainty
Tesla’s analyst price target has increased modestly to approximately $392.93, up about $1.61. Analysts point to stabilizing delivery volumes and a slightly stronger revenue growth outlook, partially offset by narrower profit margins.Narrative Update • Nov 03
TSLA: Shareholder Pay Vote And Leadership Uncertainty Will Undermine Near-Term Performance
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Tesla to about $391 from $367 per share, citing slightly improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Recent Street research points to delivery stabilization, record Q3 results, and continued optimism around new products despite ongoing earnings variability.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla's analyst price target has been raised from $350.50 to $366.77 as analysts weigh continued optimism around the company's AI ventures and robotics pipeline. However, they cite moderating growth assumptions and increased industry competition.Narrative Update • Oct 06
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla's analyst price target has increased from approximately $331.58 to $350.50, a rise of nearly $19. This change reflects analysts' optimism after stronger-than-expected Q3 vehicle deliveries, as well as expectations for improving profit margins and new model momentum.Analysis Article • Sep 27
Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Despite an already strong run, Tesla, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last...Narrative Update • Sep 21
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised Tesla’s price target to $331.58, reflecting renewed optimism around Q3–Q4 deliveries, autonomy and robotics growth potential, and successful product rollouts like Robotaxi and FSD, despite near-term margin concerns and mixed views on demand sustainability. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted growing confidence in Tesla's Q3 and Q4 delivery volumes, citing upwardly revised estimates, particularly on the back of global survey data and new product/capacity developments, with expectations for long-term earnings growth from autonomy and robotics businesses.Narrative Update • Sep 15
Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
Wow, that was fast. The market is catching on quicker than I expected.Narrative Update • Sep 12
Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
The Market is Finally Waking Up to Tesla Tesla has officially hit my previous fair value target of $360, and after digging into their recent progress, I’m convinced the stock is heading towards $400 by the end of the year. The story here is simple: they are executing incredibly well on all the things that matter for long-term growth.Narrative Update • Sep 06
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla’s consensus price target has increased modestly to $310.53, driven by optimism around Musk’s new incentive package and anticipated growth in autonomous, robotaxi, and robotics initiatives, though concerns remain over execution challenges and EV demand headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the new long-term incentive package for Elon Musk as a catalyst to boost investor sentiment, incentivize sustained leadership, and align Musk’s interests with shareholders, particularly as autonomous driving and robotics come to the forefront.Shareholder Returns
| TSLA | US Auto | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 3.2% | 2.4% | -0.9% |
| 1Y | -10.9% | -10.0% | 13.9% |
Return vs Industry: TSLA matched the US Auto industry which returned -10% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TSLA underperformed the US Market which returned 13.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TSLA volatility | |
|---|---|
| TSLA Average Weekly Movement | 8.0% |
| Auto Industry Average Movement | 9.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: TSLA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: TSLA's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 134,785 | Elon Musk | www.tesla.com |
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale.
Tesla, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| TSLA fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.44t |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$3.81b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$103.62b |
379.2x
P/E Ratio13.9x
P/S RatioIs TSLA overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TSLA income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$103.62b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$84.09b |
| Gross Profit | US$19.53b |
| Other Expenses | US$15.73b |
| Earnings | US$3.81b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.96 |
| Gross Margin | 18.85% |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.67% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 10.4% |
How did TSLA perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/14 03:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Tesla, Inc. is covered by 80 analysts. 44 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Theodore O'Neill | Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC |
| Benjamin Kallo | Baird |