Stock Analysis

Root, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROOT) Reported Earnings Last Week And Analysts Are Already Upgrading Their Estimates

NasdaqGS:ROOT
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Root, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROOT) just released its full-year report and things are looking bullish. Revenues were better than expected, with US$455m in revenue some 20% ahead of forecasts. The company still lost US$10.24 per share, although the losses were marginally smaller than the analysts expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Root

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NasdaqGS:ROOT Earnings and Revenue Growth February 25th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Root's eight analysts is for revenues of US$887.8m in 2024. This would reflect a major 95% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. The loss per share is expected to ameliorate slightly, reducing to US$9.64. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$622.0m and losses of US$10.48 per share in 2024. We can see there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a sizeable upgrade to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time reducing their loss estimates.

It will come as no surprise to learn thatthe analysts have increased their price target for Root 6.9% to US$11.63on the back of these upgrades. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Root at US$15.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$10.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Root's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 95% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.5% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.8% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Root to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Root. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Root analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Root (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

This article has been translated from its original English version, which you can find here.