Stock Analysis

ONE Gas (NYSE:OGS) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.65

ONE Gas, Inc. (NYSE:OGS) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 2nd of June to $0.65. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 3.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for ONE Gas

ONE Gas' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Prior to this announcement, ONE Gas' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 13.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 60%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:OGS Historic Dividend May 5th 2023

ONE Gas Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. The annual payment during the last 9 years was $1.12 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $2.60. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.8% per annum over that time. The dividend has been growing as a reasonable rate, which we like. However, investors will probably want to see a longer track record before they consider ONE Gas to be a consistent dividend paying stock.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, ONE Gas has only grown its earnings per share at 3.8% per annum over the past five years. Growth of 3.8% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This could mean the dividend doesn't have the growth potential we look for going into the future.

In Summary

In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for ONE Gas that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is ONE Gas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:OGS

ONE Gas

Operates as a regulated natural gas distribution utility company in the United States.

Proven track record average dividend payer.

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