National Fuel Gas (NFG) Stock Overview
Operates as a diversified energy company. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 5/6 |
NFG Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 23 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
National Fuel Gas Company Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$80.92 |
| 52 Week High | US$97.06 |
| 52 Week Low | US$77.22 |
| Beta | 0.42 |
| 1 Month Change | -6.94% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.11% |
| 1 Year Change | -1.82% |
| 3 Year Change | 58.05% |
| 5 Year Change | 55.95% |
| Change since IPO | 2,420.69% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 16
NFG: Refined Production Outlook Will Support Future Multiple Expansion Potential
National Fuel Gas' updated analyst price target edges to $101.50 from $102.00, as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a higher discount rate, partially offset by a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts focusing on National Fuel Gas highlight recent price target increases as support for the updated valuation framework that relies on a higher future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • May 08
National Fuel Gas' (NYSE:NFG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Last week's profit announcement from National Fuel Gas Company ( NYSE:NFG ) was underwhelming for investors, despite...Narrative Update • Apr 22
NFG: Recent Bullish Coverage Will Support Future Production And Execution Confidence
Analysts have lifted their price target on National Fuel Gas by $2, reflecting updated expectations for revenue, profit margins and future P/E in light of recent bullish initiations and target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on National Fuel Gas, with fresh coverage and updated targets reflecting how analysts see the balance between valuation, earnings power and execution risk.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 16
NFG: Refined Production Outlook Will Support Future Multiple Expansion Potential
National Fuel Gas' updated analyst price target edges to $101.50 from $102.00, as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a higher discount rate, partially offset by a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts focusing on National Fuel Gas highlight recent price target increases as support for the updated valuation framework that relies on a higher future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • May 08
National Fuel Gas' (NYSE:NFG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Last week's profit announcement from National Fuel Gas Company ( NYSE:NFG ) was underwhelming for investors, despite...Narrative Update • Apr 22
NFG: Recent Bullish Coverage Will Support Future Production And Execution Confidence
Analysts have lifted their price target on National Fuel Gas by $2, reflecting updated expectations for revenue, profit margins and future P/E in light of recent bullish initiations and target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on National Fuel Gas, with fresh coverage and updated targets reflecting how analysts see the balance between valuation, earnings power and execution risk.Narrative Update • Apr 07
NFG: Future Equity Plans Will Support Balanced Production And Execution Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target on National Fuel Gas by $2 to $102, citing updated assumptions around fair value, growth, and the price-to-earnings ratio that reflect recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around National Fuel Gas reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets moving in both directions and fresh coverage coming in with a constructive stance.Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
National Fuel Gas Breaks Out To New Highs (Technical Analysis)
Summary National Fuel Gas has broken out to new highs after a 6-month consolidation, supported by strong money flows and technical momentum. NFG's earnings are increasingly tied to natural gas prices, with 2025 adjusted EPS of $6.91 and 2026 guidance of $7.60–$8.10 based on higher gas price assumptions. The company boasts a 55-year streak of dividend growth, qualifying as a Dividend King, though the current yield is historically low due to a 30% stock price gain. I reiterate a buy rating, emphasizing NFG's technical breakout, robust dividend history, and leverage to expanding LNG export demand. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jan 10
NFG: Future Equity Raise Will Support Production Expansion Upside
Analysts have slightly adjusted their view on National Fuel Gas, trimming their fair value estimate from US$101.33 to US$100.00 as they factor in expectations for more moderate revenue growth, a softer profit margin profile, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News On December 12, 2025, National Fuel Gas Company entered into a common stock subscription agreement with accredited investors for 4,402,513 common shares at US$79.50 per share, for expected gross proceeds of about US$350.0m.Narrative Update • Dec 18
NFG: Future Production Expansion Will Drive Attractive Share Price Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on National Fuel Gas to approximately 101.33 dollars from 101 dollars, reflecting modestly updated assumptions around long term growth, profitability, and valuation multiples. What's in the News Entered into a common stock subscription agreement with accredited investors to issue 4,402,513 shares at 79.50 dollars per share, raising about 350 million dollars in gross proceeds, with closing expected on December 17, 2025, subject to customary conditions (Key Developments) Shares in the private offering are being issued without registration under the Securities Act, relying on Section 4(a)(2), Rule 506 of Regulation D, and similar state law exemptions (Key Developments) Updated buyback tranche disclosure shows no shares repurchased from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, while the company has cumulatively repurchased 1,974,979 shares, or 2.16 percent, for 118.29 million dollars under the March 11, 2024 authorization (Key Developments) Reiterated 2026 production guidance, expecting total production of 440 to 455 Bcf, indicating confidence in medium term operating plans (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate increased slightly to approximately 101.33 dollars from 101 dollars, reflecting modestly revised long-term assumptions.Narrative Update • Dec 04
NFG: Future Production And Buybacks Will Drive Share Price Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for National Fuel Gas by 1 dollar to 101 dollars, reflecting slightly lower fair value assumptions despite largely unchanged expectations for growth, margins, and the discount rate. What's in the News Updated share repurchase activity showed no additional buybacks between July 1 and September 30, 2025, with the company having completed repurchases of 1,974,979 shares for approximately 118.29 million dollars under its March 11, 2024 authorization (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 20
NFG: Improved Margins Will Drive Upside as Production Outlook Remains Solid
Analysts have raised their price target for National Fuel Gas slightly, increasing it from $101.33 to $102.00. They cite a modest improvement in profit margin estimates, despite expectations of slower revenue growth.Narrative Update • Nov 05
NFG: Improving Capital Efficiencies Will Drive Future Outperformance Amid Sector Volatility
Analysts have raised their price target for National Fuel Gas from $99.67 to $101.33 per share. This change is driven by expectations of improved capital efficiencies and positive cash flow as key developments unfold in the industry.Narrative Update • Oct 21
Analyst Commentary Highlights Upgraded Price Target and Improved Outlook for National Fuel Gas
Analysts have raised National Fuel Gas's price target by $1.67 to $99.67. They cite improved capital efficiencies, positive cash flow expectations, and the company's continued positioning as a high-quality, lower-risk sector name.Narrative Update • Aug 28
Pipeline Expansion And Marcellus Shale Will Drive Future Demand
Analysts have raised their price target for National Fuel Gas to $98.00, citing improved capital efficiencies, positive cash flow visibility from the One Big Beautiful Bill, and near-term data center growth catalysts. Analyst Commentary Improved capital efficiencies are driving higher earnings potential.Analysis Article • Aug 08
There May Be Some Bright Spots In National Fuel Gas' (NYSE:NFG) Earnings
The market for National Fuel Gas Company's ( NYSE:NFG ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently...Analysis Article • Jul 05
National Fuel Gas (NYSE:NFG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is...Analysis Article • Jun 16
National Fuel Gas (NYSE:NFG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.535
National Fuel Gas Company's ( NYSE:NFG ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 15th of July to $0.535, with...Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
National Fuel Gas Q2 Preview: I'm Not Too Confident In The Short Term
Summary Analysts expect strong Q2 '25 earnings for National Fuel Gas Company, but I remain cautious due to the company's history of missing estimates and macroeconomic uncertainties. I will watch for any updates on the 2025 outlook, especially given recent economic shifts and potential impacts from the tariff war. The company's exposure to natural gas price fluctuations and infrastructure costs due to tariffs could affect future profitability and capex plans. Despite uncertainties, NFG's long history of dividend payouts and potential for long-term growth make it worth monitoring for future investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
National Fuel Gas: Dividend Aristocrat With Strong Growth Catalysts
Summary National Fuel Gas has delivered a market-beating returns since my last visit. NFG's vertically integrated model and strong fiscal Q1 2025 results highlight its robust growth potential and operational efficiency. Key growth catalysts include the Tioga Pathway project and multi-year rate case settlements, supporting a favorable natural gas demand outlook. With a near 3% dividend yield, a well-covered payout ratio, and 53 years of dividend growth, NFG remains an attractive long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 25
Why National Fuel Gas Is Still On My 'Buy' List
Summary National Fuel Gas is a dividend king with 54 years of increases, offering a 3.21% yield and a BBB credit rating. NFG's mixed regulated and unregulated business model provides resilience and potential for significant cash injections during favorable market conditions. Despite higher commodity exposure, NFG's valuation is attractive, with a P/E of 10-12x and potential for 19-25% annualized returns. I maintain a "BUY" rating for NFG with a target price of $70/share, supported by strong fundamentals and realistic growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 31
National Fuel Gas Wasn't Necessarily A 'Buy', But Might Be Now
Summary National Fuel Gas has underperformed, showing a negative RoR of over 10%, while the S&P500 rose by over 40%. Despite recent earnings declines, NFG's fundamentals are solid, with a 3.5% dividend yield and a strong history of dividend increases. The company's mix of regulated and non-regulated operations, along with reduced leverage and potential nat gas recovery, supports a "Buy" rating. My target remains $70/share, expecting double-digit RoR, driven by conservative upside and earnings growth or multiple expansions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 29
Decisive Initiatives And Modernization Propel Growth In Utility And Energy Sectors
Strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies across all segments are set to expand revenue and net margin, enhancing earnings and free cash flow.Seeking Alpha • Jun 15
National Fuel Gas: A Dividend King In A Highly Cyclical Sector
Summary National Fuel Gas has a strong history of increasing dividends for over 50 years despite operating in a cyclical sector. Natural gas prices are expected to be lower for the remainder of the fiscal year, but the company is forecasting just a small decline in earnings-per-share for 2024. Shares are undervalued relative to their historical average and offer a solid, safe yield, with the potential for double-digit returns, making the stock a buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 22
National Fuel Gas: Buy This Dividend Champion For Improving Commodity Pricing
Summary National Fuel Gas is a unique energy company focused on the Appalachian natural gas food chain. The IEA and Citi have issued updates on the prospects for commodity natural gas, highlighting potential market tensions and price volatility. National Fuel Gas has demonstrated a connection between its share price and natural gas commodity pricing, and as gas prices improve, so will its share prices. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| NFG | US Gas Utilities | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| 1Y | -1.8% | 11.8% | 28.7% |
Return vs Industry: NFG underperformed the US Gas Utilities industry which returned 13.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: NFG underperformed the US Market which returned 27.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| NFG volatility | |
|---|---|
| NFG Average Weekly Movement | 3.2% |
| Gas Utilities Industry Average Movement | 2.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: NFG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: NFG's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1902 | 2,322 | Dave Bauer | www.nationalfuel.com |
National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through Integrated Upstream and Gathering, Pipeline and Storage, and Utility segments. The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment explores for, develops, and produces natural gas and oil.
National Fuel Gas Company Fundamentals Summary
| NFG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$7.72b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$686.47m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.51b |
11.2x
P/E Ratio3.1x
P/S RatioIs NFG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| NFG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.51b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$900.27m |
| Gross Profit | US$1.61b |
| Other Expenses | US$921.25m |
| Earnings | US$686.47m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 7.22 |
| Gross Margin | 64.10% |
| Net Profit Margin | 27.37% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 63.4% |
How did NFG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
2.6%
Current Dividend Yield29%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/22 14:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
National Fuel Gas Company is covered by 22 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Jim Harmon | Barclays |
| Carl Kirst | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |