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Clear Secure (YOU): Assessing Valuation After Expanded International Access and New Tech Initiatives

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
See our latest analysis for Clear Secure.
Clear Secure’s move to welcome travelers from 40 new countries comes as its share price has faced a sharp pullback, with a 1-month share price return of -20.7% following recent expansion news and the eGate pilot launches. Still, the company’s three-year total shareholder return of 37.8% suggests momentum could rebuild as international growth prospects take hold.
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With shares trading nearly 19% below analyst price targets and recent growth initiatives signaling long-term potential, the key question is whether Clear Secure is a bargain waiting to be seized or if the market has already priced in the upside.
Most Popular Narrative: 15.9% Undervalued
Clear Secure's latest fair value estimate points to notable upside versus the last closing price of $29.61, drawing attention as investor expectations shift. The numbers fueling this valuation are based on bold financial blueprints that could surprise many market watchers.
Clear's NextGen Identity platform and automation partnerships enhance efficiency and market reach, leading to potential revenue growth and cost-saving benefits. Expansion into non-airport locations and pricing adjustments aim to boost revenue through wider market capture and improved member retention.
Want the inside track on this undervaluation? The secret sauce in this narrative is rooted in forward-looking revenue expansion and profit assumptions, as well as a profit multiple that goes beyond what many expect for the sector. There is a surprising set of growth levers and valuation logic driving that headline number. Eager to see exactly what’s under the hood?
Result: Fair Value of $35.22 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, leadership transitions and challenges with credit card partnerships could disrupt Clear Secure's growth forecasts and put pressure on future earnings in the months ahead.
Find out about the key risks to this Clear Secure narrative.
Build Your Own Clear Secure Narrative
If you’re inclined to trust your own research over consensus views, why not shape the story yourself in just a few minutes? Do it your way
A great starting point for your Clear Secure research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:YOU
Clear Secure
Operates a secure identity platform under the CLEAR brand name primarily in the United States.
Outstanding track record and undervalued.
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