
Software engineer and investor. I write fundamental deep-dives on AU and US tech stocks, with the edge of using the tools I analyse daily. Focused on long-term value, not momentum. Also a property investor.
No link addedNetflix keeps growing sales and buying back stock, yet people aren’t spending much more time watching—raising the question of how long it can keep leaning on higher prices and ads. The bigger threat isn’t another streamer but free video platforms, and the company’s choice to share less viewing detail adds another layer of doubt.Read more

Lululemon’s growth story looks stuck just as shoppers and the market start treating the brand as yesterday’s news, even though the business still throws off a lot of cash and has room to grow outside North America. The key question is whether new leadership can refresh the products and protect the brand’s “cool” before rising competition, tariffs, and discounting do lasting damage.Read more

Alphabet looks like one of the strongest toll‑booth businesses in the world, but its rush to build out artificial intelligence could also weaken the cash engine that made it so dependable. The big question is whether today’s enthusiasm leaves any room for bad news like heavy spending, legal pressure, or people searching in new ways.Read more

GQG Partners looks oddly unloved: clients pull money out even as the firm keeps generating strong profits and paying big cash dividends to shareholders. The catch is that the whole story hinges on a star manager, shaky investor confidence, and a few headline risks that could hit fast if things go wrong.Read more

Intuit’s software is deeply woven into how small businesses run their money and taxes, and it’s trying to keep growing customers from leaving as they get bigger by offering a new mid-sized business suite. The catch is the stock price assumes a lot goes right at once, even as Mailchimp struggles, Credit Karma can swing with the credit cycle, and a government tax-filing alternative could come back.Read more

Meta’s ad business still throws off huge cash, but Mark Zuckerberg is pushing the company into a costly race to build advanced AI systems that may not pay off. With regulators tightening rules on social media—especially around kids—this is a stock where the real story is whether today’s money machine ends up funding tomorrow’s expensive detour.Read more

Microsoft’s heavy spending is scaring the market, but the real story may be that customers want more cloud and AI capacity than the company can deliver. The bigger question isn’t whether the spending is reckless—it’s what happens if demand cools or regulators step in.Read more

NVIDIA looks unusually profitable for a hardware company thanks to a deep software and networking ecosystem that keeps customers and developers locked in. The catch is the stock already assumes a near-perfect future, so the real question is what could knock that story off course—and what price would leave room for mistakes.Read more

Australia’s construction industry is falling apart, yet SHAPE Australia keeps winning work thanks to a cash-rich, low-risk way of delivering commercial interiors. A quiet rule change is squeezing weaker rivals out, while SHAPE shifts toward steadier maintenance work and faster modular builds that could make earnings less boom-and-bust.Read more
