If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. On that note, looking into MeridianLink (NYSE:MLNK), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for MeridianLink:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.013 = US$11m ÷ (US$987m - US$79m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Thus, MeridianLink has an ROCE of 1.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 9.5%.
See our latest analysis for MeridianLink
Above you can see how the current ROCE for MeridianLink compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for MeridianLink .
What Can We Tell From MeridianLink's ROCE Trend?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at MeridianLink. About five years ago, returns on capital were 3.7%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect MeridianLink to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line On MeridianLink's ROCE
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. And, the stock has remained flat over the last three years, so investors don't seem too impressed either. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching MeridianLink, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
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