When Should You Buy Sapiens International Corporation N.V. (NASDAQ:SPNS)?

While Sapiens International Corporation N.V. (NASDAQ:SPNS) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$23.46 and falling to the lows of US$17.92. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Sapiens International's current trading price of US$19.50 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Sapiens International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Sapiens International

What's The Opportunity In Sapiens International?

According to my valuation model, Sapiens International seems to be fairly priced at around 1.3% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Sapiens International today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $19.75, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Sapiens International’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Sapiens International generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 36% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Sapiens International. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SPNS’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SPNS, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Sapiens International, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Sapiens International has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Sapiens International, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.