Pagaya Technologies Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Pagaya Technologies is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 149.5% and 12.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 145.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30.5% in 3 years.
Key information
149.5%
Earnings growth rate
145.3%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 17.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.2% |
| Future return on equity | 30.5% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 14 Feb 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Shares Bounce 74% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Feb 15
Pagaya: 2025 Will Be A Year Of Clarity, Strong Buy
Jan 24Is Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) Using Too Much Debt?
Jan 22Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$20.75 Price Target
Nov 15Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%
Nov 08Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Oct 24Pagaya Technologies: The Writing Is On The Wall (Rating Downgrade)
Sep 26Little Excitement Around Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Revenues
Sep 18Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY)
Jun 20Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY) Soars 30% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
May 22Pagaya: Everything Is Obvious In Hindsight (Rating Downgrade)
Apr 19Pagaya's Race Against Time
Mar 18Even With A 27% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Performance Completely
Feb 23Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Feb 18Many Still Looking Away From Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY)
Dec 09Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 93% Above Its Share Price
Sep 09Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 1,415 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,356 | 83 | N/A | 206 | 8 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,195 | 11 | N/A | 147 | 9 |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,032 | -401 | 43 | 67 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 971 | -178 | 35 | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 925 | -132 | 52 | 71 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 871 | -89 | 34 | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 812 | -128 | -11 | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 787 | -148 | -31 | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 779 | -201 | -71 | -40 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 765 | -351 | -87 | -61 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 749 | -315 | -62 | -40 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 711 | -297 | -49 | -26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 643 | -255 | 8 | 15 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 553 | -116 | 35 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 475 | -134 | 43 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 356 | -116 | 40 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 256 | -80 | 16 | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 178 | -38 | 9 | 11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 99 | 5 | 3 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 36 | -8 | -9 | -8 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PGY is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: PGY is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: PGY is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: PGY's revenue (12.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PGY's revenue (12.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PGY's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30.5%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/02/16 03:20 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/02/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is covered by 10 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Palmer | Benchmark Company |
| Michael Legg | Benchmark Company |
| Harold Goetsch | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |