Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Revenues

NasdaqCM:PGY
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Pagaya Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PGY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024

What Does Pagaya Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Pagaya Technologies as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Pagaya Technologies.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Pagaya Technologies?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Pagaya Technologies would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 261% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 17% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Pagaya Technologies' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Pagaya Technologies' P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Pagaya Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Pagaya Technologies that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Pagaya Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.