- United States
Further weakness as nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) drops 10% this week, taking one-year losses to 50%
Investing in stocks comes with the risk that the share price will fall. And there's no doubt that nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) stock has had a really bad year. The share price is down a hefty 50% in that time. Because nCino hasn't been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 24% in thirty days.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for nCino isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
View our latest analysis for nCino
nCino isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last year nCino saw its revenue grow by 46%. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. In contrast the share price is down 50% over twelve months. Yes, the market can be a fickle mistress. Typically a growth stock like this will be volatile, with some shareholders concerned about the red ink on the bottom line (that is, the losses). We'd definitely consider it a positive if the company is trending towards profitability. If you can see that happening, then perhaps consider adding this stock to your watchlist.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
nCino is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.
A Different Perspective
nCino shareholders are down 50% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 12%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. With the stock down 14% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for nCino you should be aware of.
But note: nCino may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.
Find out whether nCino is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.View the Free Analysis
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and overvalued.