Stock Analysis

MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

NYSE:MP
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So on that note, MP Materials (NYSE:MP) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on MP Materials is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.032 = US$71m ÷ (US$2.3b - US$97m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

Therefore, MP Materials has an ROCE of 3.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 9.9%.

See our latest analysis for MP Materials

roce
NYSE:MP Return on Capital Employed November 17th 2023

In the above chart we have measured MP Materials' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for MP Materials.

What Can We Tell From MP Materials' ROCE Trend?

The fact that MP Materials is now generating some pre-tax profits from its prior investments is very encouraging. Shareholders would no doubt be pleased with this because the business was loss-making four years ago but is is now generating 3.2% on its capital. And unsurprisingly, like most companies trying to break into the black, MP Materials is utilizing 3,027% more capital than it was four years ago. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, both common traits of a multi-bagger.

One more thing to note, MP Materials has decreased current liabilities to 4.2% of total assets over this period, which effectively reduces the amount of funding from suppliers or short-term creditors. So shareholders would be pleased that the growth in returns has mostly come from underlying business performance.

The Bottom Line

To the delight of most shareholders, MP Materials has now broken into profitability. And given the stock has remained rather flat over the last three years, there might be an opportunity here if other metrics are strong. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with MP Materials (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MP Materials is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.