MP Materials Corp.

NYSE:MP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.7b

MP Materials Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

MP Materials is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 83% and 36.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 105.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.1% in 3 years.

Key information

83.0%

Earnings growth rate

105.3%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth19.2%
Revenue growth rate36.4%
Future return on equity4.1%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) After Its Latest Results

Nov 12
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) After Its Latest Results

Earnings Update: MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts

Aug 09
Earnings Update: MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts

Recent updates

Why We're Not Concerned About MP Materials Corp.'s (NYSE:MP) Share Price

Dec 17
Why We're Not Concerned About MP Materials Corp.'s (NYSE:MP) Share Price

Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) After Its Latest Results

Nov 12
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) After Its Latest Results

MP Materials: Everything Is Going According To The Plan

Nov 08

MP Materials Is Critical For Net-Zero Future, I'm Not Buying

Sep 26

Earnings Update: MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts

Aug 09
Earnings Update: MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Just Reported And Analysts Are Trimming Their Forecasts

Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Revenue and EPS estimates

Aug 06
Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Revenue and EPS estimates

Wrong On Timing, Right On Thesis: Why MP Materials Is Still A Strong Buy

Jun 30

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Stocks Pounded By 26% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Jun 20
MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Stocks Pounded By 26% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Apr 28
MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

MP Materials: Securing America's Future With Massive Short Squeeze Potential

Apr 15

Revenues Not Telling The Story For MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP)

Mar 22
Revenues Not Telling The Story For MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP)

MP Materials: A Potential Bargain At 52-Week Lows

Mar 12

Analysts Just Slashed Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Earnings Forecasts

Mar 04
Analysts Just Slashed Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Earnings Forecasts

MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jan 23
MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

MP Materials: The Only U.S. REE Producer With Top Notch Balance Sheet

Jan 17

MP Materials: Rare Earth Leader With Potential Significant Upside

Jan 10

MP Materials: Close To Complete Its Full Integration

Dec 16

MP Materials: Sell Before 2024 Or Hold For Revival Of Rare Earth Hype?

Nov 30

MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Nov 17
MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Energy Transition And Robots - Why MP Materials Has So Much Potential

Oct 17

MP Materials: Approaching My Buy Zone

Sep 20

MP Materials: Geopolitical Wager On REE Industry Fragmentation

Sep 13

MP Materials: It's A Good Time To Make A Move

Aug 16

MP Materials: Farm To Table, Mining Edition

Aug 09

Some Analysts Just Cut Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Estimates

Aug 06
Some Analysts Just Cut Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Estimates

Investors Will Want MP Materials' (NYSE:MP) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Aug 02
Investors Will Want MP Materials' (NYSE:MP) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Betting On America With MP Materials

Jul 06

Here's Why MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Jun 22
Here's Why MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

MP Materials: Making Progress

May 24

News Flash: 10 Analysts Think MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Earnings Are Under Threat

May 11
News Flash: 10 Analysts Think MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Earnings Are Under Threat

Are MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Mar 27
Are MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Analysts Just Shaved Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Forecasts Dramatically

Feb 26
Analysts Just Shaved Their MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Forecasts Dramatically

MP Materials, Sumitomo forge rare earth supply deal in Japan

Feb 21

MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Jan 13
MP Materials (NYSE:MP) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Some Confidence Is Lacking In MP Materials Corp.'s (NYSE:MP) P/E

Dec 16
Some Confidence Is Lacking In MP Materials Corp.'s (NYSE:MP) P/E

MP Materials Non-GAAP EPS of $0.36 beats by $0.06, revenue of $124.45M beats by $6.73M

Nov 03

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Nov 03
MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Sell MP Materials: It's Still Expensive

Oct 21

MP Materials' (NYSE:MP) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Oct 15
MP Materials' (NYSE:MP) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202658312591508
12/31/2025327-2511214512
12/31/2024195-66-1183910
9/30/2024184-59-249-31N/A
6/30/2024174-38-243-13N/A
3/31/20242063-273-34N/A
12/31/202325324-19963N/A
9/30/2023305108-196106N/A
6/30/2023377175-145189N/A
3/31/2023457241-68278N/A
12/31/202252828917344N/A
9/30/202253327194346N/A
6/30/202250925172274N/A
3/31/202243820454214N/A
12/31/2021332135-22102N/A
9/30/2021275110-2574N/A
6/30/202121682-1349N/A
3/31/2021174-8-329N/A
12/31/2020134-22-193N/A
9/30/2020113-45-82N/A
6/30/202099-57913N/A
3/31/202081079N/A
12/31/201973-7-30N/A
12/31/201867-131220N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MP is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MP's revenue (36.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MP's revenue (36.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 00:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MP Materials Corp. is covered by 18 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KalloBaird
Subhasish ChandraBenchmark Company
Gregory JonesBMO Capital Markets Equity Research