Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Paint A Concerning Picture

NYSE:LYB
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on LyondellBasell Industries is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = US$3.2b ÷ (US$37b - US$6.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Thus, LyondellBasell Industries has an ROCE of 10%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 8.7% generated by the Chemicals industry.

See our latest analysis for LyondellBasell Industries

roce
NYSE:LYB Return on Capital Employed October 1st 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for LyondellBasell Industries compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for LyondellBasell Industries .

The Trend Of ROCE

When we looked at the ROCE trend at LyondellBasell Industries, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 19%, but since then they've fallen to 10%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

The Key Takeaway

To conclude, we've found that LyondellBasell Industries is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 54% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

LyondellBasell Industries does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for LyondellBasell Industries that you might be interested in.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.