LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Stock Overview
Operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
LYB Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$62.65 |
| 52 Week High | US$83.94 |
| 52 Week Low | US$41.58 |
| Beta | 0.35 |
| 1 Month Change | 11.18% |
| 3 Month Change | -15.69% |
| 1 Year Change | 29.60% |
| 3 Year Change | -36.89% |
| 5 Year Change | -39.42% |
| Change since IPO | 184.77% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 29
LYB: Higher Long Term Earnings Assumptions Are Expected To ReRate Shares
LyondellBasell Industries' fair value estimate has been revised from $98.00 to about $89.66 as analysts reduce price targets across the sector. The changes reflect updated models that factor in softer petrochemical pricing expectations, lower assumed oil support and a more conservative P/E outlook, while margin and revenue growth assumptions remain relatively stable.Seeking Alpha • Jul 19
LyondellBasell: The Iran Conflict Has Interrupted The Evolution Process (Rating Upgrade)
Summary LyondellBasell is upgraded to Hold as market conditions shift from oversupply to mid-cycle due to Middle East disruptions. Recent supply shocks have doubled Q1 earnings and are expected to drive robust Q2 results, but profitability remains below historical mid-cycle levels. At current prices, LYB trades near fair mid-cycle valuation with only a 17% upside to modeled fair value, limiting further appreciation potential. Market recovery is fragile; a quick resolution to Middle East conflicts could rapidly restore oversupply, capping upside for LYB shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 15
LYB: Normalizing Chemical Spreads And Debt Burden Will Pressure Future Returns
LyondellBasell Industries' analyst price target has been revised down from $50.61 to $48.00 as analysts factor in softer commodity chemicals conditions, slightly lower revenue growth expectations, a modest adjustment to future P/E assumptions, and a small improvement in projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on LyondellBasell Industries points to a more careful stance from several institutions, with multiple price target resets that cluster in the mid to high US$60s and below, alongside a wide range of ratings from Underperform to Overweight.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 29
LYB: Higher Long Term Earnings Assumptions Are Expected To ReRate Shares
LyondellBasell Industries' fair value estimate has been revised from $98.00 to about $89.66 as analysts reduce price targets across the sector. The changes reflect updated models that factor in softer petrochemical pricing expectations, lower assumed oil support and a more conservative P/E outlook, while margin and revenue growth assumptions remain relatively stable.Seeking Alpha • Jul 19
LyondellBasell: The Iran Conflict Has Interrupted The Evolution Process (Rating Upgrade)
Summary LyondellBasell is upgraded to Hold as market conditions shift from oversupply to mid-cycle due to Middle East disruptions. Recent supply shocks have doubled Q1 earnings and are expected to drive robust Q2 results, but profitability remains below historical mid-cycle levels. At current prices, LYB trades near fair mid-cycle valuation with only a 17% upside to modeled fair value, limiting further appreciation potential. Market recovery is fragile; a quick resolution to Middle East conflicts could rapidly restore oversupply, capping upside for LYB shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 15
LYB: Normalizing Chemical Spreads And Debt Burden Will Pressure Future Returns
LyondellBasell Industries' analyst price target has been revised down from $50.61 to $48.00 as analysts factor in softer commodity chemicals conditions, slightly lower revenue growth expectations, a modest adjustment to future P/E assumptions, and a small improvement in projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on LyondellBasell Industries points to a more careful stance from several institutions, with multiple price target resets that cluster in the mid to high US$60s and below, alongside a wide range of ratings from Underperform to Overweight.Narrative Update • Jul 01
LYB: Dividend Yield And Normalizing Chemical Spreads Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for LyondellBasell Industries has been reduced by roughly $12 to about $50.61, as analysts factor in lower assumed fair value alongside slightly higher discount rates and modestly less severe expected revenue declines, partially offset by stable profit margins and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on LyondellBasell Industries shows a mix of views, but the more cautious voices are leaning toward lower valuation assumptions and softer long term growth expectations for the petrochemical cycle.Analysis Article • Jun 17
LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Stock Could Be 18% Undervalued After Earnings Beat And Asset Sale
LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) is back in focus after reporting Q1 2026 earnings of $0.49 per share, a 48% year-over-year increase, and closing the sale of selected European olefins and polyolefins assets to AEQUITA. See our latest analysis for LyondellBasell Industries. LyondellBasell Industries shares closed at $62.59, with the 30 day share price return down 16.61% and the 90 day share price return down 16.77%. At the same time, the 1 year total shareholder return is 13.15%, suggesting...Narrative Update • Jun 16
LYB: Dividend Reset And Polyethylene Pricing Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for LyondellBasell Industries stock from $38.00 to $63.00, citing updated views on polyethylene pricing, earnings normalization for chemicals, and revised P/E assumptions that are reflected in recent Street price target changes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on LyondellBasell Industries highlights a mix of optimism around polyethylene pricing and chemicals earnings, alongside more cautious views that focus on how long current conditions can last and what investors may be willing to pay for the stock.Narrative Update • Jun 02
LYB: Tight Polyethylene Supply And Buybacks Are Expected To ReRate Shares
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for LyondellBasell Industries to $98 from $90 as recent upgrades and higher price targets point to support from tight polyethylene supply, elevated polyethylene prices, and expectations for stronger margins in the chemicals group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around LyondellBasell has tilted more constructive as bullish analysts highlight tighter polyethylene supply, higher pricing, and the potential for stronger margins in the chemicals group.
Narrative Update • May 01
LYB: Future Returns Will Balance Tighter Supply With Dividend Reset Uncertainties
The updated analyst price target for LyondellBasell Industries has moved higher, with fair value rising from $73.59 to $75.82 as analysts factor in revised revenue growth assumptions, a slightly different discount rate, and higher future P/E expectations following a series of recent target hikes and rating upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on LyondellBasell Industries has shifted meaningfully in recent weeks, with a cluster of upgrades and higher price targets reshaping how the stock is viewed on both the upside and the risk side.Narrative Update • Apr 17
LYB: Future Returns Will Balance Tight Polyethylene Supply And Dividend Reset Risks
The analyst price target for LyondellBasell Industries has been raised from about $51 to roughly $74, as analysts factor in improved revenue growth expectations, slightly higher profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, supported by a wave of recent upgrades and target increases across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on LyondellBasell Industries shows a clear shift in tone, with many firms moving ratings higher and lifting price targets across a wide range.Narrative Update • Apr 02
LYB: Tighter Polyethylene Supply And Dividend Cut Are Expected To ReRate Shares
Analysts have raised the price target on LyondellBasell Industries to $90, up from about $86.92. They cite higher assumed revenue growth, a lower profit margin, and a higher future P/E in light of recent upgrades and price target increases across the Street.Narrative Update • Mar 19
LYB: Dividend Cut And Supply Tightness Will Still Limit Share Upside
Analysts have raised their average price targets for LyondellBasell by a wide margin, with several firms moving into Buy or Outperform territory. They cite tighter polyethylene supply, potential margin upside in U.S. petrochemicals, and a recent dividend cut that they view as reducing balance sheet risk.Narrative Update • Mar 05
LYB: Tighter Supply And Dividend Cut Will Still Restrain Future Returns
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for LyondellBasell has shifted from $36 to $38, as analysts factor in tighter global polyethylene supply, higher commodity margin risk, and recent upgrades that point to reduced near term earnings risk along with a slightly higher future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on LyondellBasell reflects a split view.Narrative Update • Feb 19
LYB: Ongoing Oversupply And Weak Margins Will Constrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their average price target on LyondellBasell Industries by a few dollars, with recent $2 to $4 upward revisions reflecting updated views on sector oversupply risks, an inconsistent demand backdrop, and potential catalysts such as improving PMI data, rate cuts, and possible capacity rationalization in China. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cautious tone around LyondellBasell, even as some price targets have been adjusted upward by a few dollars.Analysis Article • Feb 05
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
Despite an already strong run, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. ( NYSE:LYB ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Narrative Update • Feb 04
LYB: Future Returns Will Reflect Balanced Margin Execution And Commodity Oversupply Risks
Analysts have lifted their price targets on LyondellBasell by low single digit dollar amounts, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, slightly less severe revenue declines, modestly better profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on LyondellBasell shows a mix of cautious and constructive views, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and one downgrade in rating.Narrative Update • Jan 21
LYB: Commodity Oversupply And Weaker Pricing Power Will Restrain Future Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price targets on LyondellBasell Industries higher by about US$5 to US$6, citing refinements to discount rate assumptions, expectations for a smaller revenue decline, improved profit margin forecasts, and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary While some targets have been nudged higher, there is a clear pocket of caution around LyondellBasell Industries, with several Bearish analysts trimming expectations and tempering enthusiasm on the stock.Narrative Update • Jan 06
LYB: Softer Margins And Inconsistent Industrial Demand Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on LyondellBasell Industries, with our fair value estimate moving from US$44.00 to US$36.00. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate, softer profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple, set against a weaker macro setup and inconsistent industrial end markets highlighted in recent research.Narrative Update • Dec 19
LYB: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Improving Catalyst Segment Demand
Analysts have trimmed their price target on LyondellBasell Industries by about $2 to reflect a softer fair value outlook, citing weaker seasonal demand, slippage in commodity markets, and inconsistent industrial end markets that weigh on revenue growth and profit margin expectations, despite a modestly higher forward P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a cautious stance on LyondellBasell Industries, with multiple firms trimming price targets as they recalibrate expectations for near term earnings and cash generation.Narrative Update • Dec 05
LYB: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Rebounding Catalyst Segment Demand
Analysts have trimmed their price target for LyondellBasell Industries, cutting expectations by several dollars per share to reflect weaker macro conditions, slippage in commodity businesses, and reduced EBITDA forecasts tied to soft seasonal demand and elevated inventories. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on LyondellBasell reflects a cautious stance, with multiple firms trimming price targets into the mid 40s to around $50 per share.Narrative Update • Nov 20
LYB: Future Results Will Be Supported By Rebounding Catalyst Segment Demand
The analyst price target for LyondellBasell Industries has been lowered. The consensus has moved down by approximately $1 to reflect ongoing concerns about weak demand and inconsistent industrial end markets, according to analysts.Narrative Update • Nov 05
LYB: Future Profitability Will Benefit From Rebound in Catalyst Demand
The average analyst price target for LyondellBasell Industries has been reduced by $2 to $55. This change reflects more cautious expectations amid ongoing weakness in commodity markets and softer seasonal demand.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Highlights Cautious Outlook as LyondellBasell Faces Lower Price Targets and Market Challenges
The average analyst price target for LyondellBasell Industries has been reduced from $58.61 to $57.00. This change reflects ongoing concerns about weak demand, supply issues, and cautious outlooks highlighted by recent analyst research.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Circular Recycling And Renewable Feedstock Investments Will Redefine Global Chemicals
Analysts have lowered their price target for LyondellBasell Industries by $1 to $58. This change reflects ongoing headwinds from weak demand and inventory surpluses in the commodity chemicals sector.Narrative Update • Sep 24
Circular Recycling And Renewable Feedstock Investments Will Redefine Global Chemicals
Analysts have lowered LyondellBasell’s price target due to sustained oversupply, weak core demand, and pressured margins—particularly in polyethylene—while increased market multiples provide only partial support, resulting in a new consensus fair value of $59.61. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite continued headwinds from elevated supply and weak demand in core commodity markets, limiting upside potential.Analysis Article • Aug 12
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 25% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. ( NYSE:LYB ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
LyondellBasell: Dividend Cut Seems Increasingly Likely
Summary LyondellBasell's 9.3% dividend yield may seem appealing, but I don't believe that payout is all that sustainable. The chemical industry faces significant risks from tariffs, a potential recession, and falling crude oil prices, impacting LYB's financial stability. Analysts see vulnerability due to reduced polyethylene exports and increased competition from alternative suppliers. While bargains may exist in the chemical sector, LYB's strained dividend metrics and weak earnings outlook make it a less attractive investment today. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 22
LyondellBasell: One Of The Best Times To Buy
Summary LyondellBasell Industries offers a compelling investment opportunity with a high 7.5% dividend yield and an undemanding valuation. LYB's cyclical business model is currently at a low point, but economic recovery and limited new production capacity should drive future profitability. The company's strong dividend growth track record and cost-saving initiatives indicate potential for higher average profits and long-term value. With a forecasted earnings recovery and attractive valuation multiples, now is a favorable time to invest in LYB for long-term gains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 04
LyondellBasell Expects 2025 Recovery To Support Dividend Yield
Summary LyondellBasell is a leading global chemicals manufacturer, currently facing a cyclical low but expected to benefit from North American demand and future Chinese recovery. LYB's strong 6.9% dividend yield is expected to remain stable, with potential increases in 2025, supported by a solid cash position and strategic asset reviews. The company is optimizing operations by closing non-profitable assets, including a major Texas refinery, and exploring sustainable projects like MoReTec recycling. Despite short-term challenges, LYB's leadership in key industrial chemicals and strategic initiatives position it well for medium-term growth and dividend stability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 17
An Updated View On LyondellBasell Based On Recent Earnings Results
Summary LyondellBasell's strong dividend track record and a 7% yield make it attractive for dividend investors, despite recent stock underperformance. Updated fair value for LYB is $115 per share, reflecting a slight increase in WACC and a lower dividend growth assumption. LYB's CLCS segment shows exceptional growth potential, with plans to significantly increase production and EBITDA by 2030. Disciplined capital allocation and strong cash reserves support sustainable dividends, reinforcing our buy rating for LYB. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 03
High Yield At Bargain Price: LyondellBasell
Summary LyondellBasell presents a bargain-priced investment, paying 7% QDI dividends. Despite cyclical headwinds, LYB offers strong long-term income potential with its strategic changes around less profitable segments. LYB has a history of sustainable, growing dividends, making it a reliable income source for retirees. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 17
LyondellBasell: A Big Yield With FCF And Earnings Growth Ahead
Summary LyondellBasell Industries presents a compelling value play with a low P/E ratio and anticipated EPS recovery in FY 2025 and 2026. Despite recent earnings misses and macro headwinds, LYB's free cash flow yield is over 6%, and the stock offers a high dividend yield. Technical analysis indicates LYB is at critical support levels, suggesting a 'buy the dip' opportunity ahead of the Q4 earnings report. Key risks include rising natural gas prices and a slower macroeconomic environment, but the long-term outlook remains positive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 16
LyondellBasell: An Undervalued Stock And A Buyback Machine
Summary LyondellBasell, a global petrochemical company, is now a $25 billion (by market cap) petrochemicals leader. To date, the company has already increased its dividend for 14 consecutive years, with a 10-year dividend growth rate of 9.5%. Expansion activities are pressuring free cash flow, further limiting flexibility around the dividend. With economies of scale, R&D, IP, and switching costs, LYB does benefit from durable competitive advantages. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 05
LyondellBasell Looks More Like A Yield Play Than A Growth Bet
Summary LyondellBasell's stock is down 19% YTD, but its 6% yield and efficiency upgrades make it worth another look. The company is expanding operations, notably with a $500M investment in NATPET, aiming for $1B in recurring EBITDA by 2025. Financially stable with $2.6B in cash, but facing cyclical market pressures and shrinking margins, leading to a "Hold" rating. Despite a generous dividend yield, minimal earnings growth and market uncertainties make LYB more a yield play than a growth bet. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| LYB | US Chemicals | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| 1Y | 29.6% | 9.6% | 20.9% |
Return vs Industry: LYB exceeded the US Chemicals industry which returned 9.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: LYB exceeded the US Market which returned 20.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| LYB volatility | |
|---|---|
| LYB Average Weekly Movement | 4.6% |
| Chemicals Industry Average Movement | 5.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: LYB has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: LYB's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 18,970 | Peter Z. Vanacker | www.lyondellbasell.com |
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Olefins and Polyolefins—Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins—Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; and Technology. The company produces and markets olefins and co-products, such as ethylene, aromatics, propylene and butadiene; polyolefins; polyethylene; polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers; propylene oxide and derivatives; oxyfuels and related products; and intermediate chemicals, such as styrene monomer and acetyls.
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Fundamentals Summary
| LYB fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$19.25b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$265.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$31.19b |
0.6x
P/S Ratio-76.4x
P/E RatioIs LYB overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| LYB income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$31.19b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$27.17b |
| Gross Profit | US$4.02b |
| Other Expenses | US$4.29b |
| Earnings | -US$265.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.82 |
| Gross Margin | 12.89% |
| Net Profit Margin | -0.85% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 118.5% |
How did LYB perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
4.4%
Current Dividend Yield-501%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/10 00:03 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is covered by 39 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Michael Leithead | Barclays |
| Scott Davis | Barclays |