Stock Analysis

Those who invested in Unum Group (NYSE:UNM) three years ago are up 226%

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. To wit, the Unum Group (NYSE:UNM) share price has flown 197% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 22% gain in the last three months.

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Unum Group

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During three years of share price growth, Unum Group achieved compound earnings per share growth of 35% per year. We note that the 44% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This observation indicates that the market's attitude to the business hasn't changed all that much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:UNM Earnings Per Share Growth January 28th 2025

It is of course excellent to see how Unum Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Unum Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

Advertisement

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Unum Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 226%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Unum Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 65% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 28% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Unum Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Unum Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:UNM

Unum Group

Provides financial protection benefit solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland.

Established dividend payer and good value.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

WE
WealthAP
PYPL logo
WealthAP on PayPal Holdings ·

The "Sleeping Giant" Stumbles, Then Wakes Up

Fair Value:US$8228.6% undervalued
38 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
28 users have liked this narrative
WO
BMBL logo
woodworthfund on Bumble ·

Swiped Left by Wall Street: The BMBL Rebound Trade

Fair Value:US$959.8% undervalued
14 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
DUOL logo
WealthAP on Duolingo ·

Duolingo (DUOL): Why A 20% Drop Might Be The Entry Point We've Been Waiting For

Fair Value:US$268.6434.4% undervalued
30 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

CO
composite32
HTTBT logo
composite32 on Hitit Bilgisayar Hizmetleri ·

Hitit Bilgisayar Hizmetleri will achieve a 19.7% revenue boost in the next five years

Fair Value:₺61.1531.1% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
SI
SimpleMan887
GME logo
SimpleMan887 on GameStop ·

GameStop will ace the financial crisis wave with its strategic Bitcoin investment and cash reserves

Fair Value:US$22090.3% undervalued
28 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
BABA logo
WealthAP on Alibaba Group Holding ·

BABA Analysis: Buying the Fear, Holding the Cloud

Fair Value:US$187.0421.5% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.4% undervalued
70 users have followed this narrative
13 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25417.4% overvalued
71 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$253.0225.3% undervalued
1029 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
29 users have liked this narrative