Stock Analysis

Investors Give The Honest Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:HNST) Shares A 27% Hiding

NasdaqGS:HNST
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The Honest Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:HNST) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 56% in the last year.

After such a large drop in price, Honest Company may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Personal Products industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Honest Company

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:HNST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 8th 2024

What Does Honest Company's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent revenue growth for Honest Company has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Honest Company will be hoping that this isn't the case.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Honest Company.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Honest Company's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.8%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 15% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.6% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 5.4% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Honest Company's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Honest Company's P/S

The southerly movements of Honest Company's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've seen that Honest Company currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Honest Company you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Honest Company might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.