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Pinning Down U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.'s (NYSE:USPH) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
U.S. Physical Therapy certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for U.S. Physical Therapy
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as U.S. Physical Therapy's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 81%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 25% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that U.S. Physical Therapy is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From U.S. Physical Therapy's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that U.S. Physical Therapy currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for U.S. Physical Therapy that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than U.S. Physical Therapy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:USPH
U.S. Physical Therapy
Operates and manages outpatient physical therapy clinics.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.
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