Monster Beverage Corporation Just Missed EPS By 11%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a good week for Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 3.1% to US$55.74. Revenues were in line with forecasts, at US$1.9b, although statutory earnings per share came in 11% below what the analysts expected, at US$0.38 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Monster Beverage

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Monster Beverage from 23 analysts is for revenues of US$8.11b in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 9.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to climb 15% to US$1.89. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$8.19b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.94 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$55.24, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Monster Beverage analyst has a price target of US$63.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$40.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Monster Beverage shareholders.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Monster Beverage's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.4% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 13% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.6% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Monster Beverage's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Monster Beverage. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$55.24, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Monster Beverage going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We also provide an overview of the Monster Beverage Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.