Stock Analysis

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s (NYSE:JEF) Price In Tune With Earnings

NYSE:JEF
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Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s (NYSE:JEF) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Jefferies Financial Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Jefferies Financial Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:JEF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Jefferies Financial Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Jefferies Financial Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 48% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 70% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 57% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10.0% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jefferies Financial Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Jefferies Financial Group's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Jefferies Financial Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Jefferies Financial Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

You might be able to find a better investment than Jefferies Financial Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jefferies Financial Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.