Stock Analysis

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LPLA) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

NasdaqGS:LPLA
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There wouldn't be many who think LPL Financial Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LPLA) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.2x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for LPL Financial Holdings as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for LPL Financial Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LPLA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LPL Financial Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like LPL Financial Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 31% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 140% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per annum as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that LPL Financial Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of LPL Financial Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for LPL Financial Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.