Stock Analysis

3 US Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 34.2% Below Intrinsic Value

NYSE:GEO
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As the U.S. stock market navigates a mixed landscape with fluctuating futures and varied earnings reports, investors are keenly observing economic indicators for insights into potential Federal Reserve actions on interest rates. Amidst this environment, identifying stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value can offer strategic opportunities for those looking to capitalize on discrepancies between market price and fundamental worth.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Atlantic Union Bankshares (NYSE:AUB)$38.12$75.6549.6%
Dime Community Bancshares (NasdaqGS:DCOM)$32.25$61.6347.7%
Berkshire Hills Bancorp (NYSE:BHLB)$28.57$56.5349.5%
Old National Bancorp (NasdaqGS:ONB)$22.76$44.2548.6%
German American Bancorp (NasdaqGS:GABC)$39.96$78.0648.8%
Kanzhun (NasdaqGS:BZ)$14.01$27.2248.5%
Dynatrace (NYSE:DT)$50.52$96.6747.7%
LifeMD (NasdaqGM:LFMD)$4.90$9.7749.8%
Bilibili (NasdaqGS:BILI)$16.83$32.7548.6%
Coeur Mining (NYSE:CDE)$6.39$12.6349.4%

Click here to see the full list of 169 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool.

Futu Holdings (NasdaqGM:FUTU)

Overview: Futu Holdings Limited operates as a digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service provider in Hong Kong and internationally, with a market cap of approximately $10.71 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its online brokerage services and margin financing services, amounting to HK$10.16 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 34.2%

Futu Holdings is trading at US$80.13, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$121.76, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent earnings reports show robust revenue and net income growth, with Q3 2024 revenue reaching HKD 3.44 billion from HKD 2.65 billion a year ago. The company announced a special dividend funded by surplus cash, underscoring strong financial health and liquidity management amidst expanding services in ETF-based robo-advisory with BlackRock collaboration.

NasdaqGM:FUTU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
NasdaqGM:FUTU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

LPL Financial Holdings (NasdaqGS:LPLA)

Overview: LPL Financial Holdings Inc. offers a comprehensive platform of brokerage and investment advisory services to independent financial advisors and enterprise-based advisors across the United States, with a market cap of approximately $25.05 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its brokerage segment, which amounts to $11.27 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.6%

LPL Financial Holdings is trading at US$338.25, below its estimated fair value of US$382.55, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported Q3 2024 revenue of US$3.11 billion and net income of US$255.3 million, showing solid growth from the previous year. Despite a forecasted high return on equity and faster-than-market earnings growth, debt coverage by operating cash flow remains a concern for financial positioning.

NasdaqGS:LPLA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
NasdaqGS:LPLA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Overview: The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) operates in the ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities and reentry centers across the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa with a market capitalization of approximately $4.31 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Reentry Services ($278.81 million), U.S. Secure Services ($1.60 billion), International Services ($204.41 million), and Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services ($342.32 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 16.3%

GEO Group, trading at US$33.85, is below its estimated fair value of US$40.44, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company's earnings are forecast to grow significantly faster than the U.S. market over the next three years, despite recent volatility in profit margins and interest coverage challenges. Recent leadership changes and a $70 million investment to expand services for ICE could impact future performance as GEO seeks to optimize operations by selling underperforming assets.

NYSE:GEO Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025
NYSE:GEO Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2025

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:GEO

GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa.

Reasonable growth potential slight.