The GEO Group, Inc.

NYSE:GEO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.7b

GEO Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

GEO Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 89.3% and 6.1% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 87.8% per annum.

Key information

89.3%

Earnings growth rate

87.8%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth15.7%
Revenue growth rate6.1%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Dec 16
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

Dec 04
Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Oct 29
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus

Oct 24

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Sep 05
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Aug 15
We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

Aug 13
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

GEO Group: Golden Opportunity Following The 32% Selloff

Aug 06

We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Jul 29
We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?

Jul 15
Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

May 08
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Apr 22
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Geo Group: A Potential Election Play

Apr 17

Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Apr 07
Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

GEO Group Could Resume The Dividend Sooner Than Later

Jan 29

GEO Group Offers Attractive 10% Yields On Long Term Debt

Jan 22

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Dec 20
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

GEO Group: Despite Uneven Results, A Lot Of Upside Remains

Nov 15

GEO Group: The Opportunity Is Still Big

Nov 08

GEO Group: The Valuation Expansion Story May Have Just Begun

Oct 03

Unlocking Hidden Value: The GEO Group's Remarkable Transformation In A Niche Industry

Sep 14

Is GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) A Risky Investment?

Sep 02
Is GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) A Risky Investment?

GEO Group: While A Disappointment, Potential Catalysts Remain

Aug 31

Inexpensive GEO Group May Benefit From Immigration Changes

Aug 01

GEO Group: Solid Fundamentals And Extremely Cheap

Jul 19

The GEO Group Stock May Have Bottomed - Buy

Jun 30

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Returns On Capital

May 21
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Returns On Capital

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Apr 28
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Apr 26
Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

The Geo Group Is Breaking Out Of Prison (Technical Analysis, Rating Upgrade)

Feb 14

The Return Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Look Promising

Feb 06
The Return Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Look Promising

GEO Group signs contract for delivery of primary health services in prisons across the state of Victoria, Australia

Jan 09

GEO Group's Debt Restructuring Makes 10% Yielding Bonds Attractive

Dec 22

Does GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 20
Does GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GEO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20262,515162N/AN/A1
12/31/20252,7232082443965
12/31/20242,423462083045
9/30/20242,42436201279N/A
6/30/20242,42430209290N/A
3/31/20242,41189202276N/A
12/31/20232,41389212285N/A
9/30/20232,426103228299N/A
6/30/20232,439114148234N/A
3/31/20232,434134179269N/A
12/31/20222,377142206296N/A
9/30/20222,31465136221N/A
6/30/20222,25462188249N/A
3/31/20222,23153224280N/A
12/31/20212,25770213283N/A
9/30/20212,277126291373N/A
6/30/20212,299136291391N/A
3/31/20212,321137333438N/A
12/31/20202,350113333442N/A
9/30/20202,394139263373N/A
6/30/20202,446146263378N/A
3/31/20202,472151248367N/A
12/31/20192,478167221338N/A
9/30/20192,456162252377N/A
6/30/20192,408155167311N/A
3/31/20192,377151132304N/A
12/31/20182,33114579274N/A
9/30/20182,301148338543N/A
6/30/20182,284147N/A511N/A
3/31/20182,278141N/A403N/A
12/31/20172,263146N/A381N/A
9/30/20172,261159N/A42N/A
6/30/20172,249165N/A-16N/A
3/31/20172,220157N/A37N/A
12/31/20162,179149N/A-28N/A
9/30/20162,113143N/A19N/A
6/30/20162,029138N/A101N/A
3/31/20161,926143N/A64N/A
12/31/20151,843139N/A142N/A
9/30/20151,771133N/A149N/A
6/30/20151,759134N/A150N/A
3/31/20151,726145N/A200N/A
12/31/20141,692144N/A203N/A
9/30/20141,647133N/A199N/A
6/30/20141,569127N/A223N/A
3/31/20141,538122N/A210N/A
12/31/20131,522117N/A192N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GEO's forecast earnings growth (89.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GEO's earnings (89.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GEO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GEO's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GEO's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GEO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The GEO Group, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian HoffmanAvondale Partners
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity