GEO Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
GEO Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 33.9% and 2.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 30.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.4% in 3 years.
Key information
33.9%
Earnings growth rate
30.7%
EPS growth rate
| Commercial Services earnings growth | 15.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.1% |
| Future return on equity | 12.4% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 11 Apr 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Geo Group: A Potential Election Play
Apr 17Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Apr 07
GEO Group Could Resume The Dividend Sooner Than Later
Jan 29GEO Group Offers Attractive 10% Yields On Long Term Debt
Jan 22The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
Dec 20GEO Group: Despite Uneven Results, A Lot Of Upside Remains
Nov 15GEO Group: The Opportunity Is Still Big
Nov 08GEO Group: The Valuation Expansion Story May Have Just Begun
Oct 03Unlocking Hidden Value: The GEO Group's Remarkable Transformation In A Niche Industry
Sep 14Is GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) A Risky Investment?
Sep 02GEO Group: While A Disappointment, Potential Catalysts Remain
Aug 31Inexpensive GEO Group May Benefit From Immigration Changes
Aug 01GEO Group: Solid Fundamentals And Extremely Cheap
Jul 19The GEO Group Stock May Have Bottomed - Buy
Jun 30There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Returns On Capital
May 21The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Apr 28Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Apr 26The Geo Group Is Breaking Out Of Prison (Technical Analysis, Rating Upgrade)
Feb 14The Return Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Look Promising
Feb 06GEO Group signs contract for delivery of primary health services in prisons across the state of Victoria, Australia
Jan 09GEO Group's Debt Restructuring Makes 10% Yielding Bonds Attractive
Dec 22Does GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Dec 20GEO Group: Michael Burry Has Waded Through The Mud, But Has He Just Found More Mud?
Nov 10The GEO Group: Rising From The Ashes (Technical Analysis)
Oct 23Michael Burry Has Sold All His Stocks But The GEO Group, Here's Why
Oct 07GEO Group completes $84.4M asset sale, reduces outstanding debt
Sep 21Is The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Trading At A 45% Discount?
Sep 06GEO Group: Maturity Wall Smoothed Out, Focus On Deleveraging
Sep 06GEO Group: Michael Burry Sold Everything But This One Stock
Aug 15Lock Up This 11% Yield And Throw Away The Key: GEO
Aug 01GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
Jul 20GEO announces transactions for strengthening debt maturities and capital structure
Jul 19GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Jun 09GEO Group: Amend-And-Extend Is In Sight
May 08Cautious Investors Not Rewarding The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Performance Completely
Mar 01GEO Group Stock: Tactically Covering Short Position
Feb 20GEO Group: Engaged With Ad Hoc Group But Parties Are Far Apart
Jan 07GEO Group Capital Structure Arb: Long 2026 Notes And Short Stock
Dec 30Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 2,518 | 180 | 269 | 357 | 3 |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,450 | 131 | 215 | 303 | 4 |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,413 | 89 | 212 | 285 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,426 | 103 | 230 | 302 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,439 | 114 | 152 | 237 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,434 | 134 | 179 | 269 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,377 | 142 | 206 | 296 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,314 | 65 | 136 | 221 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,254 | 62 | 188 | 249 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,231 | 53 | 224 | 280 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,257 | 70 | 213 | 283 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,277 | 126 | 291 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,299 | 136 | 291 | 391 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,321 | 137 | 333 | 438 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,350 | 113 | 333 | 442 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,394 | 139 | 263 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,446 | 146 | 263 | 378 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,472 | 151 | 248 | 367 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,478 | 167 | 221 | 338 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,456 | 162 | 252 | 377 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,408 | 155 | 167 | 311 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,377 | 151 | 132 | 304 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,331 | 145 | 79 | 274 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,301 | 148 | 338 | 543 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,284 | 147 | 323 | 511 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,278 | 141 | 237 | 403 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,263 | 146 | 233 | 381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,261 | 159 | N/A | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,249 | 165 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,220 | 157 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,179 | 149 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,113 | 143 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,029 | 138 | N/A | 101 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,926 | 143 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,843 | 139 | N/A | 142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,771 | 133 | N/A | 149 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,759 | 134 | N/A | 150 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 1,726 | 145 | N/A | 200 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 1,692 | 144 | N/A | 203 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 1,647 | 133 | N/A | 199 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 1,569 | 127 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 1,538 | 122 | N/A | 210 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 1,522 | 117 | N/A | 192 | N/A |
| 9/30/2013 | 1,517 | 185 | N/A | 194 | N/A |
| 6/30/2013 | 1,507 | 168 | N/A | 239 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GEO's forecast earnings growth (33.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: GEO's earnings (33.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GEO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GEO's revenue (2.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GEO's revenue (2.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GEO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.4%).