The GEO Group, Inc.

NYSE:GEO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.5b

GEO Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

GEO Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 3.8%, while the Commercial Services industry saw earnings growing at 11% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 2.2% per year. GEO Group's return on equity is 16.9%, and it has net margins of 9.7%.

Key information

3.83%

Earnings growth rate

0.051%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services Industry Growth8.53%
Revenue growth rate2.17%
Return on equity16.91%
Net Margin9.67%
Last Earnings Update31 Dec 2025

Recent past performance updates

GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Nov 14
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Recent updates

The GEO Group: Out Of Favor, But Many Paths To A Partial Rebound

Feb 18

GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Nov 14
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jul 10
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Jun 22
Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality

May 14
Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Mar 21

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Mar 04
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

Feb 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential

Feb 10

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Jan 18
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy

Jan 13

When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

Dec 31
When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Dec 16
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

Dec 04
Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Oct 29
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus

Oct 24
User avatar

Calculated Contracts And Legislative Developments Fuel Growth In Managed Services And Tech Solutions

New contracts with ICE and in Australia are poised to drive revenue growth in the managed-only segment from increased contract activations.

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Sep 05
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Aug 15
We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

Aug 13
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

GEO Group: Golden Opportunity Following The 32% Selloff

Aug 06

We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Jul 29
We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How GEO Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.

Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:GEO Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 252,6322542340
30 Sep 252,5322372350
30 Jun 252,452882200
31 Mar 252,423312160
31 Dec 242,424302130
30 Sep 242,424362040
30 Jun 242,424302040
31 Mar 242,411891940
31 Dec 232,413891910
30 Sep 232,4261031880
30 Jun 232,4391141910
31 Mar 232,4341341990
31 Dec 222,3771421970
30 Sep 222,314651990
30 Jun 222,254621990
31 Mar 222,231531970
31 Dec 212,257702040
30 Sep 212,2771261940
30 Jun 212,2991361900
31 Mar 212,3211371880
31 Dec 202,3501131930
30 Sep 202,3941391900
30 Jun 202,4461461920
31 Mar 202,4721511930
31 Dec 192,4781671860
30 Sep 192,4561621900
30 Jun 192,4081551890
31 Mar 192,3771511890
31 Dec 182,3311451850
30 Sep 182,3011481820
30 Jun 182,2841471790
31 Mar 182,2781411700
31 Dec 172,2631461900
30 Sep 172,2611591660
30 Jun 172,2491651600
31 Mar 172,2201571570
31 Dec 162,1791491490
30 Sep 162,1131431450
30 Jun 162,0291381410
31 Mar 161,9261431360
31 Dec 151,8431391370
30 Sep 151,7711331280
30 Jun 151,7591341220

Quality Earnings: GEO has a large one-off gain of $189.8M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st December, 2025.

Growing Profit Margin: GEO's current net profit margins (9.7%) are higher than last year (1.2%).

Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GEO's earnings have grown by 3.8% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: GEO's earnings growth over the past year (751.9%) exceeds its 5-year average (3.8% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: GEO earnings growth over the past year (751.9%) exceeded the Commercial Services industry 8%.

Return on Equity

High ROE: GEO's Return on Equity (16.9%) is considered low.

Return on Assets

Return on Capital Employed

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/22 17:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/22 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The GEO Group, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity
Tan WeiDeutsche Bank