GEO Group (GEO) Stock Overview
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
GEO Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 37 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
The GEO Group, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$14.75 |
| 52 Week High | US$36.46 |
| 52 Week Low | US$14.27 |
| Beta | 0.70 |
| 1 Month Change | -13.34% |
| 3 Month Change | -32.53% |
| 1 Year Change | -48.06% |
| 3 Year Change | 45.32% |
| 5 Year Change | 53.17% |
| Change since IPO | 1,375.00% |
Recent News & Updates
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Nov 14
GEO Group: Contract Wins And Cash Flow Inflection Are Not Fully Priced In
Nov 14Recent updates
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Nov 14GEO Group: Contract Wins And Cash Flow Inflection Are Not Fully Priced In
Nov 14Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Aug 08GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jul 10Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Jun 22Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality
May 14The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
Apr 27GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Mar 22The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward
Mar 21The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Mar 04These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively
Feb 25GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential
Feb 10The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Jan 18The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy
Jan 13When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?
Dec 31We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)
Dec 16Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?
Dec 04The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
Oct 29GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus
Oct 24
Calculated Contracts And Legislative Developments Fuel Growth In Managed Services And Tech Solutions
New contracts with ICE and in Australia are poised to drive revenue growth in the managed-only segment from increased contract activations.We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)
Sep 05We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings
Aug 15Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price
Aug 13GEO Group: Golden Opportunity Following The 32% Selloff
Aug 06We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Jul 29Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?
Jul 15Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)
May 08The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable
Apr 22Geo Group: A Potential Election Play
Apr 17Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Apr 07Shareholder Returns
| GEO | US Commercial Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.6% | 1.3% | -3.7% |
| 1Y | -48.1% | -8.8% | 11.0% |
Return vs Industry: GEO underperformed the US Commercial Services industry which returned -9.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GEO underperformed the US Market which returned 11.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GEO volatility | |
|---|---|
| GEO Average Weekly Movement | 5.9% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 6.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.4% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 17.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: GEO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: GEO's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 16,500 | Dave Donahue | www.geogroup.com |
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 95 facilities totaling approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 20,000 employees.
The GEO Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| GEO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$2.00b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$237.33m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.53b |
Is GEO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GEO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.53b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.89b |
| Gross Profit | US$645.64m |
| Other Expenses | US$408.31m |
| Earnings | US$237.33m |
Last Reported Earnings
Sep 30, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.74 |
| Gross Margin | 25.50% |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.37% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 102.2% |
How did GEO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/11/18 18:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/11/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
The GEO Group, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Ryan Meliker | Canaccord Genuity |
| Tan Wei | Deutsche Bank |