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The GEO Group, Inc. Stock Price

NYSE:GEO Community·US$2.2b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 39 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

GEO Share Price Performance

US$16.13
-10.99 (-40.52%)
US$35.00
Fair Value
US$16.13
-10.99 (-40.52%)
53.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$35.00
Fair Value
Price US$16.13
AnalystLowTarget US$35.00
AnalystHighTarget US$50.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$32.25

GEO Community Narratives

AnalystLowTarget·
Fair Value US$35 53.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

Political Shifts Will Undermine Detention Demand Yet Deleveraging Offers Relief

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AnalystHighTarget·
Fair Value US$45 64.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

Aging US Demand And Global Outsourcing Will Reshape Corrections Services

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AnalystConsensusTarget·
Fair Value US$32.25 50.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

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US$32.25
50.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
9.34% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.08%
Future PE
33.1x
Price in 2028
US$40.71

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026

Fair Value: US$32.25 50.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
19 users have followed this narrative
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GEO logo

Political Shifts Will Undermine Detention Demand Yet Deleveraging Offers Relief

Fair Value: US$35 53.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
GEO logo

Aging US Demand And Global Outsourcing Will Reshape Corrections Services

Fair Value: US$45 64.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Very undervalued with slight risk.

4 Risks
4 Rewards

The GEO Group, Inc. Key Details

US$2.5b

Revenue

US$1.9b

Cost of Revenue

US$645.6m

Gross Profit

US$408.3m

Other Expenses

US$237.3m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Sep 30, 2025
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
1.74
25.50%
9.37%
102.2%
View Full Analysis

About GEO

Founded
1984
Employees
16500
CEO
J. Donahue
WebsiteView website
www.geogroup.com

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 95 facilities totaling approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 20,000 employees.

Recent GEO News & Updates

GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Nov 14
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Recent updates

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